Match Info

NORWAY: Division 2 - Group 1 - Round 10

Date: 9 June 2024, Sunday

Location: Høddvoll Stadion (Ulsteinvik)


	Hødd		Arendal

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.7	3.5
	1.83	3.75	3.6
	1.87	3.77	3.65
	1.88	3.76	3.64
	1.8	3.6	3.4
	1.82	3.72	3.59
	1.86	3.65	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.62)	3.71 ↓ (4.2)	3.55 ↓ (4.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Hødd
49.7%

Draw
24.6%

Arendal
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

21.6%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.8%

20.2%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hødd has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hødd's form might have worsened.

Arendal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hødd than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hødd, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arendal than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Hødd - Arendal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alme O. (G) 4. Blikstad E. 22. Brandal D. 23. Gjerde F. 11. Haheim-Elveseter M. 7. Hjelmeseth R. 17. Johansen T. 8. Kallevag T. 5. Mulac M. 2. Murray T. 6. Urnes H.	1. Smedplass A. (G) 4. Bergan V. 16. Helgesen E. 2. Hultqvist D. 8. Koko J. 10. Kvinge M. 3. Lereng E. 9. Lille-Lovo S. 17. Nersveen P. 23. Ness T. 7. Williams J.
Substitutes
29. Aske O. 14. Bjordal O. 16. Hagen I. 9. Myrlid E. 25. Rod S. (G) 15. Svaeren H.	5. Andersen S. 20. Basic A. 14. Haga M. 19. Ibishi D. 21. Lovseth R. 13. Maric A. 27. Skjaevestad B. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Kallevag T. ⚽,
42', 2 - 0, Murray T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Nersveen P. ↓, Andersen S. ↑,
46', Lille-Lovo S. ↓, Lovseth R. ↑,
48', 2 - 1, Alme O. (Own goal),
73', Bergan V. ↓, Haga M. ↑,
75', Hultqvist D. 🟨,
77', Brandal D. ↓, Steinset K. ↑,
77', Gjerde F. ↓, Hagen I. ↑,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 4 and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hødd won 2.

Hødd is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Arendal is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hødd could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Hødd will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Hødd won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Hødd won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IL Hødd
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
01.06.24	Lysekloster - Hødd	0:1 ✺
25.05.24	Hødd - Kvik Halden	1:0 ✺
20.05.24	Brattvåg - Hødd	0:2 ✺
12.05.24	Hødd - Vard Haugesund	2:1 ✺
04.05.24	Ørn-Horten - Hødd	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWWWL
- Arendal Fotball
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
01.06.24	Arendal - Notodden	1:2 ✺
26.05.24	Sotra - Arendal	2:1 ✺
16.05.24	Arendal - Jerv	3:3 ✺
11.05.24	Arendal - Kvik Halden	2:1 ✺
05.05.24	Brattvåg - Arendal	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
27.11.21	Arendal - Hødd	2:2
20.11.21	Hødd - Arendal	2:1
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
26.10.19	Hødd - Arendal	0:3
28.04.19	Arendal - Hødd	1:1
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
29.09.18	Arendal - Hødd	1:2
10.06.18	Hødd - Arendal	3:1

Upcoming Matches