Match Info

NORWAY: Division 2 - Group 1 - Round 24

Date: 6 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Høddvoll Stadion (Ulsteinvik)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	Direkte Sport, TV2 Play


	Hødd		Jerv

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.7	3.8
	1.8	3.75	3.75
	1.81	3.64	3.86
	1.87	3.72	3.8
	1.78	3.6	3.86
	1.8	3.75	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.51)	3.69 ↓ (4.5)	3.8 ↓ (4.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hødd
51.1%

Draw
24.8%

Jerv
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

20.2%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

20.1%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hødd has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hødd's form might have worsened.

Jerv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hødd than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hødd, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jerv than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Hødd - Jerv Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alme O. (G) 4. Blikstad E. 7. Hjelmeseth R. 17. Johansen T. 8. Kallevag T. (C) 5. Mulac M. 2. Murray T. 9. Myrlid E. 19. Seferi U. 10. Skotheim I. 6. Urnes H.	20. Ovretveit O. (G) 16. Krogelien H. 3. Larade L. 19. Mafi I. 40. Osestad S. 10. Seufert N. 80. Trengereid M. 8. Ugland M. 2. van der Meer J. 6. Wichmann M. (C) 14. Wilson P.
Substitutes
14. Bjordal O. 22. Brandal D. 23. Gjerde F. 24. Juberg-Hovland L. 20. Konstali J. 25. Korneiciks D. (G) 27. Televik A.	23. Duesund E. 25. Endresen A. 17. Furaha J. 5. Markmanrud L. 35. Nilsen N. (G) 13. Skeie P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Johansen T. ↓, Bjordal O. ↑,
39', Mulac M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', 1 - 0, Skotheim I. ⚽,
61', Ugland M. ↓, Furaha J. ↑,
64', Skotheim I. ↓, Brandal D. ↑,
71', Trengereid M. ↓, Endresen A. ↑,
76', Larade L. 🟨,
84', van der Meer J. ↓, Markmanrud L. ↑,
90+3', Myrlid E. ↓, Juberg-Hovland L. ↑,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Relegation: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hødd won 0.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Hødd could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Hødd is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Hødd won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7:15 (average 0.9:1.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Hødd won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:6 (average 0.8:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IL Hødd
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
30.09.24	Brann 2 - Hødd	0:0 ✺
22.09.24	Kvik Halden - Hødd	1:1 ✺
14.09.24	Hødd - Notodden	1:0 ✺
08.09.24	Vard Haugesund - Hødd	2:0 ✺
01.09.24	Hødd - Ørn-Horten	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TTWLW
- FK Jerv
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
29.09.24	Jerv - Vard Haugesund	5:2 ✺
21.09.24	Ørn-Horten - Jerv	1:1 ✺
14.09.24	Jerv - Arendal	3:0 ✺
07.09.24	Lysekloster - Jerv	3:0 ✺
31.08.24	Jerv - Eik-Tønsberg	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
21.04.24	Jerv - Hødd	2:1
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
23.09.23	Hødd - Jerv	2:2
29.05.23	Jerv - Hødd	2:1
25.09.16	Hødd - Jerv	0:2
19.06.16	Jerv - Hødd	5:1
08.11.15	Hødd - Jerv	1:2 penalties
12.08.15	Jerv - Hødd	0:1

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