Match Info

Division 2 - Group 1 - Round 25

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: J.J. Ugland Stadion – Levermyr (Grimstad)


	Jerv		Vard Haugesund

	1	X	2
	1.39	4.85	5.9
	1.64	4.42	4.32
	1.41	4.90	6.07	Watch
	1.36	4.75	6.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.41)	4.73 ↓ (4.9)	5.71 ↓ (6.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jerv
64.1%

Draw
19.6%

Vard Haugesund
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.8%

18.9%

15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.9%

18%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jerv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Vard Haugesund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jerv than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vard Haugesund than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Jerv - Vard Haugesund Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Angelini V. (G) 23. Duesund E. 8. Hellichius F. 10. Hestad T. 3. Hultqvist D. 22. Kolve E. 16. Krogelien H. 41. Kussl L. 40. Osestad S. 11. Schroter F. 21. Strangstad S.	1. Strand S. (G) 17. Apeland K. 6. Banda P. 8. Bjornebye T. 11. Dvergsdal T. 19. Eide A. 3. Helgesen S. 5. Helgesen T. 7. Jensen S. 26. Karamoko B. 2. Lonning A.
Substitutes
77. Alanko S. 17. Furaha J. 49. Isaksen P. 19. Mafi I. 34. Runar T. (G) 42. Syvertsen M. 54. Syvertsen P. 38. Tonnessen J.	9. Alvsaker M. 22. Brandeggen B. 23. Eikje M. 24. Fauskanger-Olsson L. 18. Hauge A. 21. Jensen J. 10. Lille-Lovo S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Kolve E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
62', 2 - 0, Schroter F. ⚽,
64', Lonning A. ↓, Lille-Lovo S. ↑,
64', Apeland K. ↓, Brandeggen B. ↑,
64', Karamoko B. ↓, Hauge A. ↑,
64', Helgesen T. ↓, Alvsaker M. ↑,
71', Hestad T. ↓, Furaha J. ↑,
81', Bjornebye T. ↓, Eikje M. ↑,
82', Duesund E. 🟨,
83', Duesund E. 🟥,
86', Kolve E. ↓, Isaksen P. ↑,
88', 2 - 1, Alvsaker M. ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 and 13 in the zone Relegation).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Jerv is the obvious favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Jerv won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 2:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Jerv won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Jerv
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
11.10.25	Sandviken - Jerv	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Jerv - Sotra	2:0 ✺
28.09.25	Pors - Jerv	2:2 ✺
20.09.25	Jerv - Notodden	2:2 ✺
13.09.25	Eik-Tønsberg - Jerv	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWTTT
- Vard Haugesund
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
11.10.25	Sotra - Vard Haugesund	1:0 ✺
04.10.25	Vard Haugesund - Pors	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Sandnes Ulf - Vard Haugesund	4:0 ✺
21.09.25	Vard Haugesund - Eik-Tønsberg	2:1 ✺
13.09.25	Arendal - Vard Haugesund	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
05.04.25	Vard Haugesund - Jerv	1:2
29.09.24	Jerv - Vard Haugesund	5:2
15.06.24	Vard Haugesund - Jerv	1:1
Club Friendly
23.02.24	Vard Haugesund - Jerv	1:0

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