Match Info

Division 2 - Group 1 - Round 23

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: J.J. Ugland Stadion – Levermyr (Grimstad) 🌤️ ...


	Jerv		Arendal

	1	X	2
	1.30	5.25	6.50
	1.32	4.80	6.50
	1.30	5.41	8.12
	1.34	5.2	7.5	Watch
	1.28	5.35	8.00
	1.29	4.95	7.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.49)	5.16 ↑ (4.2)	7.36 ↑ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jerv
69.9%

Draw
17.7%

Arendal
12.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60.1%

21.3%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7%

20.7%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jerv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jerv's performance.

Arendal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arendal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jerv than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jerv that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arendal than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arendal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Jerv - Arendal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Agelin T. 15. Almen M. (C) 16. Andersen D. 11. Badjie K. 97. Furaha J. 3. Hultqvist D. 22. Kolve E. 17. Nordbo S. 40. Osestad S. 20. Svendby C. 7. Syvertsen P.	1. Smedplass A. (G) 22. Abdalhalim M. 15. Curic A. 19. Lille-Lovo S. 27. Nundal J. 18. Nygaard S. 4. Osnes H. 14. Rodeblad Lowe K. 17. Suggelia H. 8. Trengereid M. (C) 11. Victorio M.
Substitutes
26. Isaksen P. 10. Kvinge M. 5. Lillehammer F. 4. Sanchez J. 36. Seim-Monsen M. 9. Simba P. 99. Skiftenes A. (G) 14. Stalesen J. 42. Syvertsen M.	28. Altenborg M. 9. Dvergsdal T. 2. Gitau G. 29. Hurvenes M. 25. Nilsen A. E. 13. Ostbo S. (G) 20. Osterud A. 7. Skjold A. 21. Wenaas V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2nd Half (1 - 1)

Preview

An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 1st in the Promotion - OBOS - ligaen and 10th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jerv won 1.

Jerv has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Arendal has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Jerv holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

In the last 16 head-to-head meetings, Jerv has recorded 5 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 28:30 (averaging 1.8:1.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Jerv against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with 14:16 goals (averaging 1.8:2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Jerv	25	17	5	3	53:30	23	56
9	Arendal	25	8	7	10	35:40	-5	31

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Jerv
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
04.10.26	Lysekloster - Jerv	3:3 ✺
26.09.26	Jerv - Notodden	1:0 ✺
19.09.26	Kvik Halden - Jerv	0:2 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
16.09.26	Jerv - Egersund	1:2 ✺
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
13.09.26	Jerv - Brattvåg	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TWWLW
- Arendal Fotball
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
04.10.26	Sandviken - Arendal	1:0 ✺
27.09.26	Arendal - Brattvåg	2:3 ✺
20.09.26	Notodden - Arendal	4:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
16.09.26	Arendal - Sandnes Ulf	1:2 ✺
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
13.09.26	Arendal - Kvik Halden	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
16.05.26	Arendal - Jerv	1:2
25.10.25	Arendal - Jerv	3:1
Norwegian NM Cup
13.08.25	Arendal - Jerv	3:2 ET
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
16.05.25	Jerv - Arendal	1:1
Club Friendly
07.02.25	Jerv - Arendal	2:2
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
14.09.24	Jerv - Arendal	3:0
16.05.24	Arendal - Jerv	3:3

Jerv - Arendal