Match Info

3rd Division - Round 12

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Hørsholm Idrætspark (Rungsted Kyst) 🌤️ ...


	Hørsholm-Usserød		BK Frem

	1	X	2
	2.50	3.50	2.25
	2.65	3.55	2.20
	2.71	3.56	2.27
	2.63	3.67	2.3	Watch
	2.65	3.50	2.20
	2.67	3.98	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.14)	3.63 ↓ (3.75)	2.25 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hørsholm-Usserød
34.5%

Draw
25.1%

BK Frem
40.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.6%

24.3%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

23.6%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hørsholm-Usserød has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hørsholm-Usserød's form might have worsened.

BK Frem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting BK Frem's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hørsholm-Usserød than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hørsholm-Usserød, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for BK Frem than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for BK Frem, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Hørsholm Usserød - BK Frem Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Otkjaer Walloe E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
73', 1 - 1, Amhamdi A. ⚽,

Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7th in the 3rd Division (Relegation Group: ) and 9th in the 3rd Division (Relegation Group: )).

Hørsholm-Usserød has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Frem is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Hørsholm-Usserød has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:2 (averaging 0.7:0.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Hørsholm-Usserød against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Horsholm-Usserod	13	5	4	4	29:22	7	19
10	BK Frem	13	3	5	5	21:21	0	14

Last Results with these Odds

BK Frem - the odds 2.75 are the expected chance of winning is 33.14%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hørsholm-Usserød IK
Danish 3 Division
10.10.26	Ringsted - Hørsholm-Usserød	2:4 ✺
03.10.26	Hørsholm-Usserød - Helsingør	3:1 ✺
26.09.26	ASA Aarhus - Hørsholm-Usserød	2:1 ✺
19.09.26	Hørsholm-Usserød - Vanløse	1:1 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
16.09.26	Hørsholm-Usserød - Aarhus Fremad	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWLTL
- BK Frem
Danish 3 Division
10.10.26	BK Frem - Næsby	2:0 ✺
03.10.26	Brønshøj BK - BK Frem	1:1 ✺
26.09.26	BK Frem - Sundby	0:3 ✺
19.09.26	Ishøj IF - BK Frem	3:2 ✺
13.09.26	Holstebro - BK Frem	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Danish 3 Division
07.08.26	BK Frem - Hørsholm-Usserød	1:1
18.10.25	BK Frem - Hørsholm-Usserød	0:1
27.09.25	Hørsholm-Usserød - BK Frem	0:1

Hørsholm-Usserød - BK Frem