Match Info

3rd Division - Round 10

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Hørsholm Idrætspark (Rungsted Kyst)


	Hørsholm-Usserød		Helsingør

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.60	1.95
	2.60	3.70	2.16
	3.07	3.83	1.98
	3.06	3.89	1.99	Watch
	3.00	3.75	1.96
	3.09	3.86	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↓ (3.64)	3.77 ↓ (3.88)	2.02 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hørsholm-Usserød
30.7%

Draw
24.1%

Helsingør
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.3%

23.7%

51.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.5%

22.9%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hørsholm-Usserød has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hørsholm-Usserød's performance.

Helsingør has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Helsingør might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hørsholm-Usserød than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hørsholm-Usserød that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Helsingør than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Helsingør could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hørsholm Usserød - Helsingør Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
49', 2 - 0, ⚽,
56', 2 - 1, ⚽,
68', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 9th in the 3rd Division (Relegation Group: ) and 3rd in the Promotion - 3rd Division (Promotion Group: )).

Hørsholm-Usserød is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Helsingør is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Helsingør could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Helsingør holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Hørsholm-Usserød has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Helsingor	10	5	2	3	18:14	4	17
8	Horsholm-Usserod	10	3	3	4	20:19	1	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hørsholm-Usserød IK
Danish 3 Division
26.09.26	ASA Aarhus - Hørsholm-Usserød	2:1 ✺
19.09.26	Hørsholm-Usserød - Vanløse	1:1 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
16.09.26	Hørsholm-Usserød - Aarhus Fremad	1:2 penalties ✺
Danish 3 Division
13.09.26	Hørsholm-Usserød - Holbæk	3:1 ✺
05.09.26	Næsby - Hørsholm-Usserød	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LTLWL
- FC Helsingør
Danish 3 Division
25.09.26	Helsingør - Holbæk	5:1 ✺
19.09.26	Næsby - Helsingør	1:1 ✺
13.09.26	Helsingør - Sundby	2:1 ✺
04.09.26	Brønshøj BK - Helsingør	2:1 ✺
28.08.26	Helsingør - Ishøj IF	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Danish Landspokal Cup
25.08.26	Helsingør - Hørsholm-Usserød	2:5

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