Match Info

DENMARK: 1st Division - Relegation Group - Round 31

Date: 26 May 2024, Sunday

Location: Capelli Sport Stadion (Koge)

Referee: Bogelund J. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	HB Køge		Næstved BK

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.7	2.1
	2.9	3.5	2.1
	3.15	3.7	2.08	Watch
	3.12	3.78	2.2
	3.12	3.78	2.15
	2.62	3.6	2.2
	3.1	3.66	2.13	Watch
	3	3.55	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↓ (3.26)	3.66 ↑ (3.57)	2.13 ↑ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HB Køge
30.9%

Draw
25.4%

Næstved BK
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.7%

26.2%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

25.8%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HB Køge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Næstved BK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HB Køge than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Næstved BK than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	75%	25%

HB Køge - Næstved BK Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Næstved will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Bayrak B. (G) 4. Bonnesen H. 6. Seehusen J. 16. Hald S. 5. Gedsted C. 7. Jensen M. 24. Jorgensen C. 3. Culhaci G. 8. Madsen W. 26. Arias J. 11. Rothmann J.	18. Jorgensen J. (G) 19. Henriksen L. 22. Overgaard C. J. 4. Bust L. 16. Hellman E. 26. Girmai N. 8. Kongstedt M. 9. Christensen F. 6. Enemark C. 90. Carlson M. 81. Molvadgaard M.
Substitutes
15. Bayrak E. 9. Dhaflaoui Y. 27. Dorgu I. 22. Jakobsen M. 21. Jakobsen N. 30. Jalaei S. 10. Jensen Tue C. 28. Larsen G. 29. Talyspayev D. (G)	10. Ayer Boya K. 15. Friedrich C. 5. Host M. 30. Kostow A. (G) 11. Ladefoged M. 25. Osterholm A. 20. Rygaard B. 40. Salah M. 3. Souare B.
Coaches
Pedersen N.	Nielsen P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Overgaard C. J. 🟥,
39', Arias J. 🟨,
45+1', Seehusen J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Molvadgaard M. ↓, Rygaard B. ↑,
52', Jorgensen C. 🟨,
58', Carlson M. ↓, Ladefoged M. ↑,
60', Jorgensen C. ↓, Jensen Tue C. ↑,
60', Gedsted C. ↓, Bayrak E. ↑,
70', Christensen F. 🟨,
72', Hellman E. ↓, Host M. ↑,
78', Ladefoged M. 🟨,
80', Madsen W. ↓, Jakobsen M. ↑,
80', Rothmann J. ↓, Dorgu I. ↑,
85', Kongstedt M. ↓, Salah M. ↑,
87', Culhaci G. 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 0, Bonnesen H. ⚽, Jensen M. (A),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Køge won 1.

Recent matches Køge is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Næstved is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Køge won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 24-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Køge won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HB Køge
Danish 1 Division
20.05.24	HB Køge - Helsingør	3:1 ✺
10.05.24	B.93 Copenhagen - HB Køge	7:1 ✺
05.05.24	HB Køge - Hillerød	1:1 ✺
28.04.24	Helsingør - HB Køge	0:0 ✺
19.04.24	Hillerød - HB Køge	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WLTTT
- Næstved BK
Danish 1 Division
20.05.24	Næstved BK - Hillerød	1:3 ✺
10.05.24	Horsens - Næstved BK	1:0 ✺
03.05.24	Næstved BK - B.93 Copenhagen	1:0 ✺
26.04.24	Hillerød - Næstved BK	0:0 ✺
19.04.24	B.93 Copenhagen - Næstved BK	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division
07.04.24	Næstved BK - HB Køge	2:1
22.10.23	HB Køge - Næstved BK	3:2
04.09.23	Næstved BK - HB Køge	3:3
09.10.22	Næstved BK - HB Køge	1:1
09.09.22	HB Køge - Næstved BK	1:1
Club Friendly
16.07.22	HB Køge - Næstved BK	1:2
Danish 1 Division
25.07.20	HB Køge - Næstved BK	2:2

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