Match Info

DENMARK: 1st Division - Relegation Group - Round 29

Date: 10 May 2024, Friday

Location: Nordstern Arena Horsens (Horsens)

Referee: Putros S. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Horsens		Næstved BK

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.3	3
	2.2	3.3	2.9
	2.24	3.35	3.05	Watch
	2.33	3.59	2.92
	2.26	3.53	3.08
	2.2	3.4	2.75
	2.27	3.33	2.95	Watch
	2.24	3.2	2.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.09)	3.38 ↑ (3.36)	2.95 ↓ (3.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Horsens
41.2%

Draw
27.4%

Næstved BK
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

27.8%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9%

26.6%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Horsens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Næstved BK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Horsens than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Horsens, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Næstved BK than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Næstved BK, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Horsens - Næstved BK Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Horsens will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Næstved will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Hermansen A. (G) 22. Nehme A. 20. Reese S. 33. Ludwig A. 34. Roslyng F. 12. Ekeroth A. 19. Larsen M. 6. Opondo M. 14. Madsen J. 8. Kouassi O. 11. Becher S.	18. Jorgensen J. (G) 19. Henriksen L. 6. Enemark C. 4. Bust L. 16. Hellman E. 8. Kongstedt M. 22. Overgaard C. J. 9. Christensen F. 10. Ayer Boya K. 90. Carlson M. 81. Molvadgaard M.
Substitutes
29. Beluli J. 30. Bobjerg M. (G) 27. Just E. 17. Lassen M. 21. Mandrup O. 16. Mugisha R. 28. Saine A.	23. Bellman H. 5. Host M. 14. Jorgensen M. 30. Kostow A. (G) 11. Ladefoged M. 25. Osterholm A. 20. Rygaard B. 3. Souare B.
Coaches
Troelsen C.	Braune P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Bust L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Kouassi O. ↓, Saine A. ↑,
51', 1 - 0, Opondo M. ⚽, Ekeroth A. (A),
56', Molvadgaard M. ↓, Ladefoged M. ↑,
57', Hellman E. ↓, Host M. ↑,
62', Becher S. ↓, Mandrup O. ↑,
74', Christensen F. ↓, Osterholm A. ↑,
75', Ayer Boya K. ↓, Friedrich C. ↑,
79', Opondo M. ↓, Toftegaard H. ↑,
84', Kongstedt M. ↓, Bellman H. ↑,
85', Larsen M. ↓, Lassen M. ↑,
86', Nehme A. ↓, Mandrup A. ↑,
90+2', Madsen J. (Pen),

Preview

Horsens in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Næstved is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Horsens won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Horsens won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Horsens
Danish 1 Division
05.05.24	Helsingør - Horsens	0:1 ✺
26.04.24	B.93 Copenhagen - Horsens	0:1 ✺
19.04.24	Horsens - Helsingør	1:1 ✺
12.04.24	Næstved BK - Horsens	0:2 ✺
05.04.24	Horsens - Hillerød	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 WWTWW
- Næstved BK
Danish 1 Division
03.05.24	Næstved BK - B.93 Copenhagen	1:0 ✺
26.04.24	Hillerød - Næstved BK	0:0 ✺
19.04.24	B.93 Copenhagen - Næstved BK	2:0 ✺
12.04.24	Næstved BK - Horsens	0:2 ✺
07.04.24	Næstved BK - HB Køge	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division
12.04.24	Næstved BK - Horsens	0:2
03.03.24	Næstved BK - Horsens	1:1
25.08.23	Horsens - Næstved BK	3:0
28.05.16	Næstved BK - Horsens	5:1
29.11.15	Horsens - Næstved BK	1:3

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