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Current Win Probability
HB Køge 39.6%
Draw 25.7%
AB Copenhagen 34.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
34%
26%
40%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.1%
26.7%
41.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HB Køge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in HB Køge's performance.
AB Copenhagen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and AB Copenhagen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for HB Køge than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with HB Køge that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for AB Copenhagen than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AB Copenhagen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
40%
0%
HB Køge - AB Copenhagen Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Køge will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Sommergaard N. (G) 23. Westergren M. 22. Jakobsen M. 2. Bust L. 4. Hald S. 28. Larsen G. 7. Jensen M. (C) 6. Brodersen R. 25. Isaki F. 9. Thomsen T. 5. Culhaci G.
54. Benediktsson A. (G) 4. Koudelka A. 14. Noga G. 24. Liu A. 17. Stenner M. 15. Ilsoe S. (C) 22. Vesterholm M. 88. Mullings O. 18. Rasmussen M. 11. Grening C. 29. Diop S.
Substitutes
17. Achton L. 21. Jakobsen N. 10. Jensen Tue C. 16. Mols C. (G) 8. Romer M. 19. Semovski E. 14. Sorensen V. 27. Stolshoj N. 11. Warming M.
1. Bobjerg M. (G) 21. Clement M. 23. Damtoft T. 7. Engell N. 77. Fernandes J. 41. Hageltorn T. 30. Horup A. 37. Lindgaard F. 10. Ramkilde M.
Coaches
Pedersen N.
Gunnolfsson F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
25', Brodersen R. 🟨,
44', Jakobsen M. 🟨,
45+3', 0 - 1, Rasmussen M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Culhaci G. ↓, Warming M. ↑,
47', 1 - 1, Warming M. ⚽, Brodersen R. (A),
59', 1 - 2, Mullings O. ⚽, Rasmussen M. (A),
60', Rasmussen M. 🟨,
65', Rasmussen M. ↓, Engell N. ↑,
68', 1 - 3, Engell N. ⚽, Stenner M. (A),
68', Vesterholm M. ↓, Clement M. ↑,
69', Stenner M. ↓, Damtoft T. ↑,
69', Brodersen R. ↓, Jakobsen N. ↑,
69', Larsen G. ↓, Jensen Tue C. ↑,
69', Hald S. ↓, Achton L. ↑,
73', Clement M. 🟨,
73', Liu A. ↓, Ramkilde M. ↑,
73', Mullings O. ↓, Lindgaard F. ↑,
75', Diop S. 🟨,
78', Jensen Tue C. 🟨,
84', Thomsen T. 🟨,
84', Thomsen T. ↓, Semovski E. ↑,
89', 2 - 3, Benediktsson A. (Own goal),
Preview
Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 8th in the 1st Division (Relegation Group: ) and 7th in the 1st Division (Relegation Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Køge won 2.
Køge has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
AB has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Recently, AB has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Køge has recorded 8 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 27:12 (averaging 1.8:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Køge against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses, with 21:5 goals (averaging 1.9:0.5 per game).
Denmark
Finland
Norway
Sweden
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Sommergaard N. (G) 
Isaki F. 
Culhaci G. 
Benediktsson A. (G) 
Koudelka A. 
Noga G. 
Liu A. 
Mullings O. 
Diop S. 
Fernandes J. 
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