Match Info

1st Division - Round 4

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Capelli Sport Stadion (Koge)

Referee: Thomsen M. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	HB Køge		Hvidovre

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.6	2.01
	3.20	3.50	2.00
	3.3	3.55	2.06
	3.48	3.73	2.1
	3.36	3.67	2.02	Watch
	3.4	3.5	2.07
	3.3	3.6	2.05	Watch
	3.25	3.45	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.32 ↑ (2.92)	3.58 ↑ (3.49)	2.04 ↓ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HB Køge
28.1%

Draw
26.1%

Hvidovre
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

26.5%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

25.3%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HB Køge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Hvidovre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HB Køge than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hvidovre than the current prediction. (-2%)

HB Køge - Hvidovre Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sommergaard N. (G) 8. Romer M. 22. Jakobsen M. 4. Hald S. 14. Sorensen V. 7. Jensen M. (C) 24. Schutt M. 2. Bust L. 19. Semovski E. 9. Thomsen T. 11. Warming M.	1. Djukic F. (G) 59. Elvius M. 2. Stenderup D. (C) 25. Kiilerich M. 23. Clausen N. 3. Jensen Juul O. 8. Jensen O. 14. Kjaergaard O. 10. Smed A. 7. Prip L. 11. Bagou D.
Substitutes
17. Achton L. 6. Brodersen R. 31. Engberg O. 21. Jakobsen N. 10. Jensen Tue C. 28. Larsen G. 16. Mols C. (G) 27. Stolshoj N. 30. Villumsen E.	24. Aby E. 4. Aliji Z. 9. Hogh Jensen F. 22. Huygevelde N. 15. Iljazovski A. 19. Johansen A. 28. Jungvig N. 6. Okosun A. 29. Ravn A. (G)
Coaches
Pedersen N.	Retov M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
52', 0 - 1, Bagou D. ⚽, Elvius M. (A),
62', Thomsen T. ↓, Jensen Tue C. ↑,
65', Romer M. 🟨,
66', 0 - 2, Kjaergaard O. ⚽,
70', Bagou D. ↓, Aby E. ↑,
70', Smed A. ↓, Aliji Z. ↑,
72', Schutt M. ↓, Jakobsen N. ↑,
72', Bust L. ↓, Brodersen R. ↑,
72', Warming M. ↓, Larsen G. ↑,
76', Sorensen V. ↓, Achton L. ↑,
81', Prip L. ↓, Jungvig N. ↑,
89', Elvius M. ↓, Iljazovski A. ↑,
89', Jensen O. ↓, Huygevelde N. ↑,
90+4', Aliji Z. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Køge won 0.

Køge is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Hvidovre's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Hvidovre may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Køge has had a series of away games.

Hvidovre might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Hvidovre will win today's game, with odds of 1.99.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Køge won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 19:36. (average 1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Køge won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:16. (average 1.1:1.8).

Outrights of Danish 1 Division for now

Hvidovre IF: 25.46% Koge: 1.02%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Hvidovre IF	9	6	3	0	18:9	9	21
11	Koge	9	1	4	4	11:17	-6	7

Last Results with these Odds

HB Køge - the odds 2.92 are the expected chance of winning is 31.68%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HB Køge
Danish 1 Division
08.08.26	Aarhus Fremad - HB Køge	3:1 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
04.08.26	Brønshøj BK - HB Køge	1:0 ✺
Danish 1 Division
31.07.26	HB Køge - Vejle Boldklub Kolding	0:2 ✺
25.07.26	Fredericia - HB Køge	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
17.07.26	Vejle Boldklub Kolding - HB Køge	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLLL?
- Hvidovre IF
Danish 1 Division
09.08.26	Hvidovre - Esbjerg	2:1 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
06.08.26	Næstved BK - Hvidovre	1:0 ✺
Danish 1 Division
01.08.26	Kolding IF - Hvidovre	0:1 ✺
25.07.26	Hvidovre - Vendsyssel	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.26	Hvidovre - Vejle Boldklub Kolding	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
03.07.26	Hvidovre - HB Køge	1:0
Danish 1 Division
23.10.25	Hvidovre - HB Køge	3:1
27.09.25	HB Køge - Hvidovre	0:2
Danish Landspokal Cup
29.07.25	Hvidovre - HB Køge	4:3 ET
Club Friendly
08.07.25	Hvidovre - HB Køge	4:2
Danish 1 Division
10.11.24	HB Køge - Hvidovre	1:0
19.07.24	Hvidovre - HB Køge	1:0

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