Match Info

Date: 19 May 2022, Thursday

Location: Capelli Sport Stadion (Køge)

Referee: Bogelund J. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	HB Køge		Jammerbugt

	1	X	2
	1.4	5	7.5	Watch
	1.37	4.75	7.25
	1.34	4.9	8
	1.35	4.8	7
	1.37	5.21	8.52
	1.38	4	7.5	Watch
	1.35	5.15	8.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.5)	4.83 ↑ (4.51)	7.7 ↑ (6.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HB Køge
68.5%

Draw
19.4%

Jammerbugt
12.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.5%

21.1%

15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

77.7%

25.8%

12.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HB Køge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Jammerbugt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HB Køge than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for HB Køge, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jammerbugt than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	9.1%	9.1%

HB Køge - Jammerbugt Predictions

Users Predictions: HB Køge will win (18 of 22 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.7% – 97.94%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Køge is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Jammerbugt is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Køge is indisputable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Køge won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Køge won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HB Køge
Danish 1 Division
13.05.22	Fremad Amager - HB Køge	1:0 ✺
07.05.22	HB Køge - Esbjerg	2:1 ✺
01.05.22	Jammerbugt - HB Køge	0:3 ✺
23.04.22	Esbjerg - HB Køge	0:0 ✺
15.04.22	HB Køge - Fremad Amager	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LWWTT
- Jammerbugt FC
Danish 1 Division
14.05.22	Jammerbugt - Hobro	2:3 ✺
08.05.22	Vendsyssel - Jammerbugt	4:1 ✺
01.05.22	Jammerbugt - HB Køge	0:3 ✺
23.04.22	Jammerbugt - Vendsyssel	2:1 ✺
17.04.22	Hobro - Jammerbugt	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division
01.05.22	Jammerbugt - HB Køge	0:3
27.02.22	HB Køge - Jammerbugt	2:1
12.09.21	Jammerbugt - HB Køge	4:3

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