Match Info

Date: 14 May 2022, Saturday

Location: Sparekassen Vendsyssel Arena (Pandrup)

Referee: Johansen C. (Den)


	Jammerbugt		Hobro

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.6	1.8	Watch
	4.2	3.5	1.78
	4.7	3.5	1.74
	4.3	3.5	1.76
	4.65	3.72	1.81
	4.33	3.3	1.73	Watch
	4.4	3.68	1.79	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.44 ↑ (3.46)	3.54 ↑ (3.1)	1.77 ↓ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jammerbugt
21%

Draw
26.3%

Hobro
52.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.4%

29.5%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.7%

30.3%

45.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jammerbugt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jammerbugt's form might have worsened.

Hobro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hobro's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jammerbugt than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hobro than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hobro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	16.7%	50%

Jammerbugt - Hobro Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Jammerbugt will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). Hobro will win (votes: 9 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hobro: 26.9% – 73.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Recent matches Jammerbugt is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hobro is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Hobro is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Jammerbugt won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Jammerbugt won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jammerbugt FC
Danish 1 Division
08.05.22	Vendsyssel - Jammerbugt	4:1 ✺
01.05.22	Jammerbugt - HB Køge	0:3 ✺
23.04.22	Jammerbugt - Vendsyssel	2:1 ✺
17.04.22	Hobro - Jammerbugt	1:0 ✺
10.04.22	Jammerbugt - Esbjerg	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 LLWLW
- Hobro IK
Danish 1 Division
07.05.22	Hobro - Fremad Amager	1:1 ✺
30.04.22	Vendsyssel - Hobro	0:1 ✺
21.04.22	Fremad Amager - Hobro	0:0 ✺
17.04.22	Hobro - Jammerbugt	1:0 ✺
08.04.22	Hobro - HB Køge	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division
17.04.22	Hobro - Jammerbugt	1:0
22.10.21	Hobro - Jammerbugt	0:1
18.08.21	Jammerbugt - Hobro	1:1
Club Friendly
17.07.21	Hobro - Jammerbugt	3:0
28.01.21	Hobro - Jammerbugt	2:1

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