Match Info

Suomen Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 13 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Toolon Pallokentta (Helsinki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	HIFK		JäPS

	1	X	2
	2.58	3.55	2.28
	3.17	3.51	1.81
	2.49	4.08	2.27	Watch
	3.2	3.3	1.95
	2.6	3.9	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↑ (2.58)	3.67 ↓ (3.8)	2.12 ↓ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HIFK
32.3%

Draw
24.8%

JäPS
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

24.1%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

23.6%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HIFK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

JäPS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HIFK than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for JäPS than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	22.2%	33.3%

HIFK - JäPS Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. HIFK will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). JäPS will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for HIFK: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jammeh S. (C) 10. Erikson Carlos 6. Hukka N. 21. Hypponen A. 66. Karjalainen E. 13. Khayat H. 17. Kujanpaa A. 23. Kurvinen T. 22. Ollikainen O. 5. Saynio E. 33. Wahlman A.	36. Valtonen T. (G) 15. Dahlfors O. 3. Haikonen P. 8. Heidari R. 17. Ketonen V. 7. Maliki S. 2. Manner N. 13. Sainio A. (C) 22. Taskos G. 25. Valto O. 18. Virtanen J.
Substitutes
93. Abdi A. (G) 15. Auranen A. 99. Haapiainen W. 2. Kaukamo E. 19. Kiema N. 26. Lassoued M. 11. Peltola M. 14. Salim S. 7. Turunen N.	6. Jama O. 21. Katashira C. 77. Mustafa B. (G) 4. Nikki J. 20. Olander H. 11. Pallas E. 14. Selander R. 27. Soderlund I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
19', 1 - 0, Kurvinen T. ⚽,
27', 1 - 1, Heidari R. ⚽,
29', Manner N. 🟨,
38', Ketonen V. ↓, Jama O. ↑,
45+1', Hypponen A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Haikonen P. ↓, Olander H. ↑,
46', Khayat H. ↓, Lassoued M. ↑,
46', Dahlfors O. ↓, Soderlund I. ↑,
60', Kurvinen T. ↓, Kaukamo E. ↑,
62', Hypponen A. ↓, Haapiainen W. ↑,
62', Kujanpaa A. ↓, Auranen A. ↑,
72', Lassoued M. 🟨,
73', 1 - 2, Soderlund I. ⚽,
76', Heidari R. ↓, Selander R. ↑,
76', Virtanen J. ↓, Katashira C. ↑,
76', Hukka N. ↓, Peltola M. ↑,
85', Katashira C. 🟨,
87', 1 - 3, Taskos G. ⚽,
90+1', Auranen A. 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,
90+4', Valto O. 🟥,

Preview

HIFK has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

JäPS is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, HIFK won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 2.3:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, HIFK won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HIFK
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
09.05.26	PPJ Ruoholahti - HIFK	1:1 ✺
03.05.26	HIFK - Lahden Reipas	2:1 ✺
Finnish Cup
28.04.26	Jokerit - HIFK	0:5 ✺
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
25.04.26	MYPA - HIFK	0:1 ✺
17.04.26	HIFK - Union Plaani	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TWWWW
- JäPS
Finnish Ykkosliiga
09.05.26	SJK Akatemia - JäPS	0:2 ✺
02.05.26	JäPS - PK-35 Vantaa	1:0 ✺
Finnish Cup
28.04.26	Töölön Taisto - JäPS	1:9 ✺
Finnish Ykkosliiga
25.04.26	JäPS - Ekenäs	3:0 ✺
21.04.26	Haka - JäPS	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkonen
29.07.23	JäPS - HIFK	2:3
22.05.23	HIFK - JäPS	2:0
Finnish Ykkoscup
17.02.23	HIFK - JäPS	2:0

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