Match Info

Ykkosliiga

Date: 18 September 2026, Friday

Location: Järvenpään keskuskenttä (Järvenpää)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	JäPS		Ekenäs

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.95	3.40	2.05
	2.55	3.40	2.30	Watch
	3.10	3.79	2.23
	2.52	3.71	2.52	Watch
	3.05	3.70	2.13
	3.00	3.62	2.18	Watch
	2.85	3.35	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↑ (2.8)	3.57 (3.57)	2.22 ↓ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

JäPS
32.4%

Draw
25.9%

Ekenäs
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

26.2%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

26.4%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

JäPS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Ekenäs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for JäPS than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ekenäs than the current prediction. (-1%)

JäPS - Ekenäs Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Mustafa B. (G) 15. Dahlfors O. 3. Haikonen P. 21. Katashira C. 17. Ketonen V. 4. Nikki J. 20. Olander H. 9. Ristola A. 41. Salo J. 14. Selander R. (C) 18. Virtanen J.	12. Mikkonen A. (G) 19. Agbo D. 23. Bah S. 17. Etu F. 34. Kerrebijn R. 10. Lucas Kaufmann (C) 3. Maes D. 29. Mohamed F. 11. Mohammed N. 5. Pakkanen R. 8. Peltola A.
Substitutes
8. Heidari R. 19. Kuosa H. 11. Pallas E. 13. Sainio A. 27. Soderlund I. 22. Taskos G. 36. Valtonen T. (G)	1. Anttalainen A. 15. Bjorklund A. 30. Gunes O. 25. Hamdi M. 27. Kocol D. 24. Pelkonen N. 13. Sallinen O. 18. Sivonen A.
Coaches
Kankkunen T.	Lignell M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Nikki J. 🟨,
39', Kerrebijn R. 🟨,
44', Pakkanen R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', Haikonen P. 🟨,
63', Mohammed N. ↓, Kocol D. ↑,
68', Katashira C. 🟨,
69', Kocol D. 🟨,
73', Ristola A. ↓, Soderlund I. ↑,
73', Virtanen J. ↓, Kuosa H. ↑,
75', Bah S. ↓, Gunes O. ↑,
81', Kerrebijn R. ↓, Sallinen O. ↑,
85', Selander R. ↓, Heidari R. ↑,
85', Katashira C. ↓, Pallas E. ↑,
88', Ketonen V. 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 0, Soderlund I. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, JäPS won 2.

JäPS is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by EIF have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, JäPS has recorded 6 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:14 (averaging 1.5:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for JäPS against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 6:2 goals (averaging 1:0.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	JaPS	25	11	2	12	23:36	-13	35
6	Ekenas	25	8	5	12	29:37	-8	29

Last Results with these Odds

JäPS - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 33.37%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JäPS
Finnish Ykkosliiga
11.09.26	KTP Kotka - JäPS	3:0 ✺
06.09.26	SJK Akatemia - JäPS	2:3 ✺
28.08.26	JäPS - KaPa	0:0 ✺
21.08.26	PK-35 Vantaa - JäPS	3:0 ✺
14.08.26	JäPS - Haka	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWTLL
- Ekenäs IF
Finnish Ykkosliiga
12.09.26	Ekenäs - Haka	2:2 ✺
04.09.26	PK-35 Vantaa - Ekenäs	0:0 ✺
29.08.26	Ekenäs - JIPPO	0:2 ✺
22.08.26	Ekenäs - KTP Kotka	0:1 ✺
16.08.26	Mikkelin Palloilijat - Ekenäs	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkosliiga
18.07.26	Ekenäs - JäPS	0:1
25.04.26	JäPS - Ekenäs	3:0
29.08.25	JäPS - Ekenäs	0:0
19.06.25	JäPS - Ekenäs	1:1
27.04.25	Ekenäs - JäPS	4:2
Finnish Ykkonen
09.07.23	Ekenäs - JäPS	2:2
Finnish Cup
31.05.23	JäPS - Ekenäs	0:1 penalties

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