Match Info

FINLAND: YKKONEN

Date: 4 August 2023, Friday

Location: Bolt Arena (Helsinki)


	HIFK		KaPa

	1	X	2
	1.7	4	4	Watch
	1.68	3.8	3.75
	1.65	4.35	3.95
	1.74	4.42	4.04
	1.7	3.75	3.9
	1.7	4.15	4.1
	1.62	4.2	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.36)	4.1 ↓ (4.2)	3.98 ↓ (7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HIFK
54.5%

Draw
22.4%

KaPa
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.9%

21.3%

12.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.7%

20.4%

12.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HIFK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that HIFK's form might have worsened.

KaPa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting KaPa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HIFK than the current prediction. (+14.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for HIFK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KaPa than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for KaPa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.5%	15.4%	23.1%

HIFK - KaPa Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. HIFK will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). KaPa will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for HIFK: 35% – 88%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Tiainen J. (G) 2. Heimonen J. 25. Pasi T. 23. Arajuuri P. (C) 4. Aijo I. 18. Hanninen M. 10. Ahadi M. 13. Jarvinen J. 15. Kujanpaa A. 9. Ulmanen A. 14. Erikson Carlos	21. Zhuk M. (G) 29. Salmi J. (C) 4. Huhtala R. 16. Lappalainen I. 12. Pulkkinen M. 17. Lonnqvist C. 8. Forsman P. 28. Kekarainen J. 15. Yli-Hietanen K. 27. Lahdensuo T. 25. Viljamaa O.
Substitutes
7. Azodo R. 3. Hackspik J. 16. Hypponen A. 1. Jammeh S. (G) 11. Saira N. 17. Varis E. 19. Wahlman A.	14. Hietalahti P. 23. Karsama I. 77. Kinnunen J. 1. Nokelainen L. (G) 80. Rekola B. 11. Tammivuori S. 18. Valakari T.
Coaches
Okkonen S.	Aluja J.

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Ykkonen (Championship Group: ) and 9 in the zone Ykkonen (Relegation Group: )).

HIFK is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

KaPa is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match HIFK is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches HIFK won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HIFK
Finnish Ykkonen
29.07.23	JäPS - HIFK	2:3 ✺
21.07.23	HIFK - JJK Jyväskylä	4:2 ✺
15.07.23	KPV Kokkola - HIFK	0:4 ✺
09.07.23	Mikkelin Palloilijat - HIFK	2:1 ✺
02.07.23	HIFK - Salon Palloilijat	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWLT
- KaPa
Finnish Ykkonen
31.07.23	KaPa - JJK Jyväskylä	4:0 ✺
21.07.23	Salon Palloilijat - KaPa	2:0 ✺
15.07.23	KaPa - SJK Akatemia	4:4 ✺
09.07.23	KaPa - FF Jaro	2:3 ✺
02.07.23	Gnistan - KaPa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkonen
26.05.23	KaPa - HIFK	0:2

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