The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Salon Palloilijat 34.6%
Draw 24.8%
KaPa 40.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.4%
26%
34.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.9%
25.7%
34.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Salon Palloilijat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
KaPa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting KaPa's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salon Palloilijat than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Salon Palloilijat, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for KaPa than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for KaPa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
28.6%
14.3%
57.1%
Salon Palloilijat - KaPa Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. SalPa will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). KaPa will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DNB - SalPa (2.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DC - SalPa (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH 0 - SalPa (2.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. SalPa (votes: 6 - 75%). KaPa (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Zhuk M. (G) 22. Gassama M. 4. John M. 7. Kaijasilta N. 9. Lehtisalo O. 3. Meura J. (C) 29. Mohamed F. 18. Poysa S. 5. Rautiainen O. 6. Rautiola M. 26. Tiihonen A.
30. Collin T. (G) 17. Anini S. 4. Hietalahti P. (C) 8. Huhtamaki R. 31. Jouhi A. 27. Kallio E. 25. Kuningas M. 14. Lika Y. 5. Lindberg P. 11. Manneh F. 6. Nurmi N.
Substitutes
19. Boateng E. 14. Helle T. 16. Karttila A. 1. Koski J. (G) 27. Koski M. 11. Rrustemi E. 28. Salonen J. 17. Serdarevic A.
9. Haapiainen W. 3. Heikurinen N. 12. Herronen S. 7. Leinonen N. 28. Minkkinen O. 24. Piekkanen R. (G) 10. Ripatti D. 18. Valakari T.
Coaches
Virtanen I.
Lummepuro L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Anini S. 🟨,
43', Nurmi N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Rautiainen O. ↓, Helle T. ↑,
50', Collin T. 🟨,
51', 1 - 0, Meura J. (Pen),
63', Anini S. ↓, Haapiainen W. ↑,
63', Gassama M. ↓, Koski M. ↑,
72', Lehtisalo O. ↓, Rrustemi E. ↑,
72', Rautiola M. ↓, Salonen J. ↑,
77', Huhtamaki R. ↓, Ripatti D. ↑,
83', Tiihonen A. 🟨,
90+2', Mohamed F. ↓, Karttila A. ↑,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Ykkonen and 9 in the zone Ykkosliiga (Relegation)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SalPa won 1.
SalPa is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
KaPa is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
SalPa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, SalPa won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 23:18. (average 1.5:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, SalPa won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 1.7:0.8).
Finland
Watch
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Zhuk M. (G) 
Gassama M. 
John M. 
Kaijasilta N. 
Mohamed F. 
Manneh F. 
Boateng E. 
Serdarevic A. 
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