Match Info

FINLAND: YKKONEN

Date: 9 July 2023, Sunday

Location: Mikkelin Urheilupuisto (Mikkeli)


	Mikkelin Palloilijat		HIFK

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.4	3.6	Watch
	1.9	3.4	3.3
	1.85	3.55	3.7
	2.01	3.62	3.68
	1.95	3.25	3.4
	1.93	3.58	3.6
	1.96	3.45	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.12)	3.46 ↑ (3.39)	3.52 ↑ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mikkelin Palloilijat
47.5%

Draw
26.5%

HIFK
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

27.3%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

26.5%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mikkelin Palloilijat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

HIFK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mikkelin Palloilijat than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HIFK than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Mikkelin Palloilijat - HIFK Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Mikkelin Palloilijat will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). HIFK will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mikkelin Palloilijat: 58.6% – 97%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Honka-Hallila A. (G) 2. Urgenc B. 3. Vehkonen V. 7. Holtta S. (C) 24. Kilpelainen J. 15. Laitinen J. 6. Heinonen J. 69. Forsell N. 21. Luyeye-Lutumba J. 16. Stenius S. 23. Ylonen E.	31. Tiainen J. (G) 2. Heimonen J. 25. Pasi T. 23. Arajuuri P. 27. Finnas R. 19. Wahlman A. 6. Malolo O. (C) 21. Puro E. 13. Jarvinen J. 14. Erikson Carlos 9. Ulmanen A.
Substitutes
10. Avdi E. 19. Babatunde A. 26. Kuismala J. 8. Leinonen N. 34. Ruoppi O. 25. Sahimaa L. 12. Uronen J. (G)	4. Aijo I. 7. Azodo R. 18. Hanninen M. 16. Hypponen A. 1. Jammeh S. (G) 15. Kujanpaa A. 30. Pallas E.
Coaches
Pasoja J.	Okkonen S.

Preview

Mikkelin Palloilijat is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

HIFK is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Mikkelin Palloilijat could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently HIFK have a series of guest games.

Mikkelin Palloilijat will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Mikkelin Palloilijat won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Mikkelin Palloilijat won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mikkelin Palloilijat
Finnish Ykkonen
01.07.23	KPV Kokkola - Mikkelin Palloilijat	2:4 ✺
28.06.23	Mikkelin Palloilijat - KaPa	6:2 ✺
15.06.23	TPS - Mikkelin Palloilijat	1:1 ✺
11.06.23	Mikkelin Palloilijat - Ekenäs	0:0 ✺
07.06.23	Mikkelin Palloilijat - JJK Jyväskylä	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWTTW
- HIFK
Finnish Ykkonen
02.07.23	HIFK - Salon Palloilijat	2:2 ✺
28.06.23	Gnistan - HIFK	4:0 ✺
Finnish Cup
22.06.23	KuPS Kuopio - HIFK	1:0 ✺
Finnish Ykkonen
17.06.23	SJK Akatemia - HIFK	2:2 ✺
07.06.23	Ekenäs - HIFK	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkonen
21.04.23	HIFK - Mikkelin Palloilijat	0:2
Finnish Ykkoscup
04.02.23	Mikkelin Palloilijat - HIFK	0:2

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