Match Info

Kansallinen Ykkonen Women

Date: 24 June 2026, Wednesday


	HJK Akatemia		TPS

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.00	4.00
	1.25	5.80	8.37	Watch
	1.73	3.80	3.70
	1.64	4.05	4.12
	1.75	3.8	3.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.75)	4.29 ↑ (4)	4.79 ↑ (3.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HJK Akatemia
58.6%

Draw
21.8%

TPS
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

22.7%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

22.2%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HJK Akatemia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in HJK Akatemia's performance.

TPS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and TPS might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HJK Akatemia than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with HJK Akatemia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for TPS than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that TPS could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Seifulla N. ⚽,
31', 2 - 0, Oulasvirta O. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
65', 3 - 0, Varis S. ⚽,
88', 4 - 0, Seifulla N. ⚽,
90+4', 4 - 1, Sinisalo J. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Kansallinen Ykkonen Women (Relegation Group: ) and 9 in the zone Kansallinen Ykkonen Women (Relegation Group: )).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

TPS may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, HJK Akatemia is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, HJK Akatemia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HJK Akatemia Women
Finnish Ykkonen Women
10.06.26	KTP - HJK Akatemia	2:4 ✺
31.05.26	Esbo Bollklubb - HJK Akatemia	4:0 ✺
22.05.26	HJK Akatemia - Lahti	4:1 ✺
17.05.26	HJS - HJK Akatemia	3:2 ✺
10.05.26	HJK Akatemia - Jyväskylän PK	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLWLW
- TPS Women
Finnish Ykkonen Women
05.06.26	TPS - Esbo Bollklubb	2:0 ✺
31.05.26	TPS - Honka	0:0 ✺
23.05.26	ONS Oulu - TPS	1:1 ✺
17.05.26	KTP - TPS	2:1 ✺
09.05.26	PKKU - TPS	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 58.1 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkonen Women
25.03.26	TPS - HJK Akatemia	1:1
04.06.25	TPS - HJK Akatemia	1:0

HJK Akatemia - TPS: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide