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Current Win Probability
HK Kópavogur 33.2%
Draw 23.7%
Afturelding 43.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.9%
24.7%
40.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.6%
24.5%
40.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HK Kópavogur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
Afturelding has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for HK Kópavogur than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Afturelding than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
13.3%
13.3%
73.3%
HK Kópavogur - Afturelding Predictions
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. HK Kópavogur will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Afturelding will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Afturelding: 50.9% – 95.7%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Asgeirsson O. (G) 5. Antonsson T. 9. Arnarsson J. 8. Atlason A. (C) 22. Eiriksson H. 19. Gunnarsson A. 21. Jonsson I. 29. Karlsson K. 4. Larusson A. 17. Radic D. 16. Thordarson S.
1. Johannesson A. (G) 16. Barkarson B. B. 11. Bjarkason O. 27. Cogic E. 33. Hoti A. 8. Kooistra B. 5. Petursson J. 6. Saevarsson A. (C) 2. Saevarsson B. 4. Sigmarsson G. 24. Thrainsson T.
Substitutes
7. Axelsson D. 26. Benediktsson V. 45. Gudmundsson A. 2. Jonsson S. 24. Petursson M. 25. Steinsson A. (G) 28. Thorvarsson T.
3. Andresson A. 25. Bjarnason G. 79. Dadason R. 23. Haraldsson A. H. 9. Holtan J. 19. Hugason S. 85. Sigurkarlsson K. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, Gunnarsson A. ⚽,
21', 1 - 1, Saevarsson A. ⚽, Petursson J. (A),
29', Bjarkason O. 🟨,
36', Cogic E. ↓, Dadason R. ↑,
39', Karlsson K. ↓, Thorvarsson T. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Atlason A. ↓, Petursson M. ↑,
55', Sigmarsson G. 🟨,
64', Thrainsson T. 🟨,
75', Thrainsson T. ↓, Bjarnason G. ↑,
75', Petursson J. ↓, Andresson A. ↑,
75', 2 - 1, Radic D. ⚽,
78', Arnarsson J. 🟨,
79', Eiriksson H. 🟥,
81', Arnarsson J. ↓, Axelsson D. ↑,
81', Gunnarsson A. ↓, Jonsson S. ↑,
87', Larusson A. ↓, Benediktsson V. ↑,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HK Kópavogur won 5.
Recent performances by HK Kópavogur have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Afturelding is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, HK Kópavogur won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:4. (average 2.3:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, HK Kópavogur won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:3. (average 2.8:0.8).
Last Results with these Odds
Afturelding - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 40.47%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.