Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 30

Date: 4 June 2026, Thursday


	HLM		Pikine

	1	X	2
	2.60	2.60	2.85
	2.60	2.60	2.85
	2.69	2.67	2.93
	2.60	2.67	2.83	Watch
	2.54	2.68	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↑ (2.54)	2.64 ↓ (2.68)	2.9 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

HLM
34.7%

Draw
34.2%

Pikine
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

34.1%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

34.4%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HLM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Pikine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HLM than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pikine than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

HLM - Pikine Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 9).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Pikine has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, HLM won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, HLM won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Pikine	30	7	13	10	20:19	1	34
11	ASC HLM	30	5	18	7	18:24	-6	33

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HLM
Senegal Ligue 1
17.05.26	HLM - Génération Foot	0:1 ✺
13.05.26	HLM - Linguère	0:0 ✺
10.05.26	Gorée - HLM	1:1 ✺
03.05.26	HLM - Guédiawaye	2:1 ✺
25.04.26	Teungueth - HLM	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LTTWL
- AS Pikine
Senegal Ligue 1
13.05.26	Pikine - Jaraaf	0:0 ✺
10.05.26	Pikine - Dakar SC	0:0 ✺
03.05.26	Sonacos - Pikine	0:0 ✺
26.04.26	Pikine - Génération Foot	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Pikine - Gorée	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Senegal Ligue 1
15.02.26	Pikine - HLM	0:0
10.02.25	HLM - Pikine	1:1

HLM - Pikine: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide