The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
HPS 30.5%
Draw 25.3%
Kiffen 08 44.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41%
25.6%
33.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.2%
23.7%
31%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HPS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that HPS's form might have worsened.
Kiffen 08 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kiffen 08's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for HPS than the current prediction. (+13.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for HPS, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kiffen 08 than the current prediction. (-13.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kiffen 08, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
12.5%
0%
87.5%
HPS - Kiffen 08 Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. HPS will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Kiffen will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Kiffen: 64.6% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Tamminen J. (G) 37. Alatalo A. 9. Apajalahti E. 26. Kilic B. 46. Lamberg E. 14. Lilja S. 20. Lindstrom A. 2. Merilainen K. 4. Niskanen M. 24. Sipola J. 8. Vaisanen O.
31. Abdi A. (G) 11. Haajanen A. 13. Jurvanen V. 37. Koivumaki M. 8. Kovalainen J. 28. Makinen A. 23. Nevalainen R. 7. Niska R. 9. Partanen J. 27. Saarikko T. 14. Thurling B.
Substitutes
15. Blumme V. 21. Boughrara H. 18. Camara I. 16. Eskola J. 27. Gronberg S. 13. Manadir R. (G) 22. Omar A. 30. Sheikhani B. 7. Simonov I.
25. Ferati G. 10. Hopsu M. 12. Kallman R. (G) 15. Kyander J. 17. Lehtojuuri A. 4. Loukiainen A. 19. Peetumber M. 24. Ruismaki R. 16. Unikkolinna V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Sipola J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
53', 0 - 1, Nevalainen R. ⚽,
57', Vaisanen O. ↓, Camara I. ↑,
57', Alatalo A. 🟨,
58', Alatalo A. ↓, Boughrara H. ↑,
60', 1 - 1, Niskanen M. ⚽,
61', Abdi A. 🟨,
68', Haajanen A. ↓, Lehtojuuri A. ↑,
73', Lamberg E. ↓, Gronberg S. ↑,
74', Sipola J. ↓, Simonov I. ↑,
75', 1 - 2, Jurvanen V. ⚽,
78', Kilic B. 🟨,
78', Kovalainen J. ↓, Ruismaki R. ↑,
79', Koivumaki M. ↓, Hopsu M. ↑,
82', Kilic B. ↓, Omar A. ↑,
88', Niska R. ↓, Ferati G. ↑,
90', Gronberg S. 🟨,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Kakkonen Group A (Winners stage: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Kakkonen Group A (Winners stage: )).
HPS is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Kiffen is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, HPS won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).
Including home match between the teams, HPS won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
Watch
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Tamminen J. (G) 
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