Match Info

Kakkonen Group A

Date: 6 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Urheilupuisto N (Heinola)


	Union Plaani		HPS

	1	X	2
	3.25	4.10	1.75
	3.45	3.75	1.77
	3.32	4.15	1.87
	3.84	4.25	1.67	Watch
	3.60	3.80	1.70
	3.91	4.15	1.66
	3.4	4.1	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.54 ↑ (3.4)	4.04 ↓ (4.1)	1.74 ↓ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Union Plaani
25.6%

Draw
22.4%

HPS
52%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.7%

22.2%

51.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.1%

21.7%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Union Plaani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

HPS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Plaani than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HPS than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Union Plaani - HPS Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Heikkinen T. (G) 44. Afila V. 33. Hahl J. (C) 77. Hassan M. 25. Hertsi L. 16. Karttunen V. 34. Kimari O. 84. Lahti R. 18. Paakkanen S. 15. Serdarevic A. 3. Solonen A.	25. Tamminen J. (G) 9. Apajalahti E. 21. Boughrara H. 16. Eskola J. 27. Gronberg S. 26. Kilic B. 14. Lilja S. 2. Merilainen K. 4. Niskanen M. 28. Oris J. 30. Sheikhani B.
Substitutes
20. Ahlfors N. 12. Belabid Y. (G) 4. Karjalainen J. 17. Kettunen T. 9. Kivisto N. 11. Kuokkanen N. 19. Kuzniarek T. 29. Nykanen A. 5. Utriainen J.	23. Heiskanen L. 33. Kuusniemi T. 20. Lindstrom A. 45. Painilainen A. 32. Saarto P. (G) 7. Simonov I. 24. Sipola J. 6. Sopanen L. 8. Vaisanen O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+2', Afila V. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Heiskanen L. ↓, Sopanen L. ↑,
56', Oris J. 🟨,
60', Sheikhani B. ↓, Sipola J. ↑,
70', 0 - 1, Apajalahti E. ⚽,
70', Heikkinen T. 🟨,
71', Serdarevic A. ↓, Kuokkanen N. ↑,
74', Apajalahti E. ↓, Lindstrom A. ↑,
74', Oris J. ↓, Simonov I. ↑,
86', 0 - 2, Vaisanen O. ⚽,
90', 🟨,
90', Afila V. ↓, Utriainen J. ↑,
90+1', Hertsi L. ↓, Kivisto N. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Kakkonen Group A (Losers stage: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Kakkonen Group A (Winners stage: )).

Union Plaani is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

HPS is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

HPS may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, HPS is considered a favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Union Plaani
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
29.05.26	Union Plaani - Kiffen 08	0:2 ✺
23.05.26	PEPO Lappeenranta - Union Plaani	1:1 ✺
16.05.26	Union Plaani - PPJ Ruoholahti	2:2 ✺
08.05.26	Atlantis Helsinki - Union Plaani	5:1 ✺
Finnish Cup
28.04.26	Union Plaani - Lahti	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LTTLL
- Helsingin Palloseura
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
31.05.26	HPS - PPJ Ruoholahti	2:2 ✺
22.05.26	HIFK - HPS	0:2 ✺
16.05.26	HPS - Atlantis Helsinki	4:3 ✺
09.05.26	MYPA - HPS	1:3 ✺
02.05.26	HPS - PEPO Lappeenranta	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.4 TWWWL

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