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Current Win Probability
HPS 70%
Draw 15.6%
Union Plaani 14.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
56.5%
21.2%
22.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.3%
18.1%
26.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HPS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in HPS's performance.
Union Plaani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Union Plaani might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for HPS than the current prediction. (-21.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with HPS that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Plaani than the current prediction. (+11.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Union Plaani could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
HPS - Union Plaani Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Hallikainen L. (G) 37. Alatalo A. 21. Boughrara H. 27. Gronberg S. 12. Kajanoja K. 26. Kilic B. 14. Lilja S. 20. Lindstrom A. 2. Merilainen K. 4. Niskanen M. 19. Saukkonen J.
31. Hirvonen O. (G) 28. Abdi T. 44. Afila V. 33. Hahl J. (C) 77. Hassan M. 25. Hertsi L. 17. Kettunen T. 11. Kuokkanen N. 29. Nykanen A. 18. Paakkanen S. 5. Utriainen J.
Substitutes
23. Heiskanen L. 5. Immonen N. 13. Manadir R. (G) 28. Oris J. 45. Painilainen A. 11. Ryhanen T. 7. Simonov I. 24. Sipola J. 8. Vaisanen O.
20. Ahlfors N. 4. Karjalainen J. 8. Korhonen J. 15. Serdarevic A. 1. Tirronen R. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
25', Kilic B. 🟨,
26', 0 - 1, Kuokkanen N. (Penalty Awarded),
36', 0 - 2, Hassan M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Boughrara H. ↓, Oris J. ↑,
46', Gronberg S. ↓, Ryhanen T. ↑,
50', 0 - 3, Hassan M. ⚽,
60', Kajanoja K. ↓, Simonov I. ↑,
60', Niskanen M. ↓, Sipola J. ↑,
61', Lilja S. 🟨,
66', Abdi T. ↓, Korhonen J. ↑,
77', Lilja S. ↓, Vaisanen O. ↑,
78', Kuokkanen N. ↓, Serdarevic A. ↑,
82', Saukkonen J. 🟨,
86', Ahlfors N. 🟨,
86', Merilainen K. 🟨,
90+4', Kettunen T. 🟨,
90+6', Oris J. 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Kakkonen Group A (Winners stage: ) and 10 in the zone Kakkonen Group A (Losers stage: )).
Union Plaani is Kakkonen Group A (Losers stage )
Recent performances by HPS have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Union Plaani's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
HPS may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, HPS is the obvious favorite.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, HPS won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
Usa
Watch
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Hallikainen L. (G) 
Afila V. 
Serdarevic A. 
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