Match Info

Kakkonen Group A - Winners stage

Date: 8 September 2026, Tuesday

Location: Kimpisen stadion (Lappeenranta)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	PEPO Lappeenranta		HIFK

	1	X	2
	1.49	4.20	4.80
	1.48	4.30	4.60
	1.48	4.50	5.81
	1.45	4.94	5.01	Watch
	1.44	4.15	5.75
	1.50	4.95	4.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (2.2)	4.51 ↑ (3.75)	5.15 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

PEPO Lappeenranta
62%

Draw
20.3%

HIFK
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

23.8%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

22.3%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PEPO Lappeenranta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in PEPO Lappeenranta's performance.

HIFK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and HIFK might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PEPO Lappeenranta than the current prediction. (-18.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with PEPO Lappeenranta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HIFK than the current prediction. (+15.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that HIFK could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

PEPO Lappeenranta - HIFK Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. PEPO (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: PEPO Lappeenranta will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Kuitto M. (G) 8. Ahamdi E. 9. Jammeh I. 25. Jappinen J. (C) 29. Junnikkala A. 21. Kohonen L. 22. Kotanen A. 18. Olives T. 26. Pesonen P. 7. Salminen M. 6. Turppo O.	1. Jammeh S. (G) 77. Ahadi M. 15. Auranen A. 29. Finnas R. 6. Hukka N. 21. Hypponen A. 66. Karjalainen E. 13. Khayat H. 23. Kurvinen T. 18. Kyllonen L. 5. Saynio E.
Substitutes
10. Enbuska J. 20. Hadi A. 13. Hinkkanen J. 19. Koistinen M. 27. Lattu E. 28. Leiri N. 11. Sikanen E. 16. Suoraniemi S. 23. Varganov A. (G)	11. Peltola M. 70. Pyhala J. (G) 7. Turunen N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Kyllonen L. 🟨,
32', Finnas R. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
53', 1 - 0, Ahamdi E. ⚽,
58', Jammeh I. ↓, Suoraniemi S. ↑,
63', Auranen A. 🟨,
66', 🟨,
70', Finnas R. ↓, Peltola M. ↑,
70', 2 - 0, Salminen M. ⚽,
75', Salminen M. 🟨,
84', Ahamdi E. ↓, Sikanen E. ↑,
89', Khayat H. ↓, Turunen N. ↑,
89', Jappinen J. 🟨,
90', Salminen M. ↓, Koistinen M. ↑,
90+1', 🟨,
90+1', 🟥,
90+3', Saynio E. 🟨,
90+3', Kohonen L. 🟨,
90+3', 2 - 1, Peltola M. ⚽,

Preview

PEPO is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, HIFK has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, PEPO is the team to beat.

We predict that PEPO will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, PEPO won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 2.3:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, PEPO won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 3:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PEPO Lappeenranta
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
03.09.26	Atlantis Helsinki - PEPO Lappeenranta	0:0 ✺
29.08.26	PEPO Lappeenranta - PPJ Ruoholahti	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	PEPO Lappeenranta - HIFK	5:1 ✺
16.08.26	Lahden Reipas - PEPO Lappeenranta	1:2 ✺
07.08.26	PEPO Lappeenranta - MYPA	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TTWWW
- HIFK
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
03.09.26	HIFK - HPS	1:1 ✺
28.08.26	Atlantis Helsinki - HIFK	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	PEPO Lappeenranta - HIFK	5:1 ✺
15.08.26	HIFK - Atlantis Helsinki	3:5 ✺
08.08.26	HIFK - Puistolan Urheilijat	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Kakkonen Group A
22.08.26	PEPO Lappeenranta - HIFK	5:1
13.06.26	HIFK - PEPO Lappeenranta	2:1
Finnish Cup
04.02.18	PEPO Lappeenranta - HIFK	1:4

PEPO Lappeenranta - HIFK: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide