Match Info

Premier League - Round 4

Date: 3 November 2025, Monday

Location: Abiy Hersamo Stadium (Hosaena)


	Hadiya Hossana		Ethiopian Medhin

	1	X	2
	3.5	2.92	2.08
	3.68	2.96	2.07	Watch
	3.58	2.95	2.07	Watch
	3.45	3	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.55 ↓ (3.89)	2.96 ↑ (2.8)	2.06 ↓ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hadiya Hossana
25.4%

Draw
30.6%

Ethiopian Medhin
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.4%

32.5%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hadiya Hossana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

The chances for Ethiopian Medhin have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Hadiya Hossana - Ethiopian Medhin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Bekele Y. (G) 13. Aniley T. 17. Arficho H. (C) 10. Beyene B. 7. Birhanu T. 15. Elias A. 8. Getachew S. 28. Gizawe T. 20. Kebala M. 3. Moges N. 19. Nigussie D.	44. Gebremichael F. (G) 17. Awlachew D. 23. Ganiyu I. 21. Gebreselassie N. 18. Gezahegn W. 24. Kaiwa A. 3. Kassaye Y. (C) 2. Kekaleb B. 10. Mulugeta B. 33. Otulu M. 11. Yesouf R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
22', 🟨,
29', 0 - 1, Kaiwa A. ⚽,
36', 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 1, Birhanu T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', 🟨,
89', 1 - 2, (Own goal),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hadiya Hossana won 1.

Ethiopian Medhin has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ethiopian Medhin is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Hadiya Hossana won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Hadiya Hossana won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hadiya Hossana
Ethiopian Premier League
30.10.25	Adama City - Hadiya Hossana	0:0 ✺
24.10.25	Hadiya Hossana - Ethio Electric	0:0 ✺
20.10.25	Bahir Dar Kenema - Hadiya Hossana	3:1 ✺
23.06.25	Hadiya Hossana - Arba Minch	0:1 ✺
14.06.25	Ethiopian Medhin - Hadiya Hossana	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TTLLL
- Ethiopian Medhin
CAF Champions League
30.10.25	Pyramids - Ethiopian Medhin	2:0 ✺
26.10.25	Ethiopian Medhin - Pyramids	1:1 ✺
Ethiopian Premier League
20.10.25	Adama City - Ethiopian Medhin	0:0 ✺
CAF Champions League
27.09.25	Mlandege - Ethiopian Medhin	3:2 ✺
20.09.25	Ethiopian Medhin - Mlandege	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.5 LTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
14.06.25	Ethiopian Medhin - Hadiya Hossana	3:2
31.01.25	Hadiya Hossana - Ethiopian Medhin	0:1
28.06.24	Ethiopian Medhin - Hadiya Hossana	1:0
09.12.23	Hadiya Hossana - Ethiopian Medhin	1:1
07.07.23	Ethiopian Medhin - Hadiya Hossana	0:2
24.02.23	Hadiya Hossana - Ethiopian Medhin	0:1

Hadiya Hossana - Ethiopian Medhin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide