Match Info

Premier League - Round 7

Date: 27 November 2025, Thursday

Location: Abiy Hersamo Stadium (Hosaena)


	Hadiya Hossana		Arba Minch

	1	X	2
	2.42	2.62	3.1
	2.57	2.54	3.28
	2.47	2.71	3.20	Watch
	2.46	2.83	3.24	Watch
	2.45	2.71	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.02)	2.68 ↓ (2.8)	3.2 ↓ (3.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Hadiya Hossana
37.1%

Draw
34.2%

Arba Minch
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

32.3%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

32.1%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hadiya Hossana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hadiya Hossana's form might have worsened.

Arba Minch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arba Minch's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hadiya Hossana than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hadiya Hossana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arba Minch than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arba Minch, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Hadiya Hossana - Arba Minch Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Iyassu T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
84', 1 - 1, Alemayehu E. ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hadiya Hossana won 1.

Hadiya Hossana has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Arba Minch has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Hadiya Hossana won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:9. (average 1.7:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Hadiya Hossana won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hadiya Hossana
Ethiopian Premier League
21.11.25	Saint George - Hadiya Hossana	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	Sheger Ketema - Hadiya Hossana	1:1 ✺
03.11.25	Hadiya Hossana - Ethiopian Medhin	1:2 ✺
30.10.25	Adama City - Hadiya Hossana	0:0 ✺
24.10.25	Hadiya Hossana - Ethio Electric	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WTLTT
- Arba Minch FC
Ethiopian Premier League
22.11.25	Arba Minch - Sheger Ketema	0:1 ✺
08.11.25	Ethiopian Medhin - Arba Minch	0:0 ✺
04.11.25	Arba Minch - Adama City	0:1 ✺
28.10.25	Ethio Electric - Arba Minch	3:1 ✺
24.10.25	Arba Minch - Bahir Dar Kenema	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
23.06.25	Hadiya Hossana - Arba Minch	0:1
04.02.25	Arba Minch - Hadiya Hossana	3:3
14.04.23	Hadiya Hossana - Arba Minch	2:0
19.10.22	Arba Minch - Hadiya Hossana	0:0
11.04.22	Hadiya Hossana - Arba Minch	4:4
01.11.21	Arba Minch - Hadiya Hossana	1:1

Hadiya Hossana - Arba Minch: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide