Match Info

Premier League - Round 23

Date: 9 March 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished


	Ethiopian Medhin		Hadiya Hossana

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.62	3.25
	2.44	2.62	3.4
	2.44	2.59	3.43	Watch
	2.4	2.45	3.25
	2.38	2.59	3.39	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2.36)	2.57 ↓ (2.8)	3.34 ↑ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ethiopian Medhin
37.7%

Draw
35.2%

Hadiya Hossana
27.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39%

32.9%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

34%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ethiopian Medhin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Hadiya Hossana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ethiopian Medhin than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hadiya Hossana than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Ethiopian Medhin - Hadiya Hossana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Tsedeke T. ⚽,
30', 1 - 1, Erbo A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ethiopian Medhin won 4.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Ethiopian Medhin might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Ethiopian Medhin won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.3:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Ethiopian Medhin won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Ethiopian Insurance	3	1	1	1	4:4	0	4
11	Hadiya Hossana	3	1	1	1	2:2	0	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ethiopian Medhin
Ethiopian Premier League
03.03.26	Sheger Ketema - Ethiopian Medhin	1:1 ✺
25.02.26	Ethiopian Medhin - Saint George	3:0 ✺
21.02.26	Ethiopian Medhin - Adama City	0:1 ✺
05.02.26	Ethiopian Medhin - Fasil Kenema	0:0 ✺
30.01.26	Shire Endaselassie - Ethiopian Medhin	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TWLTT
- Hadiya Hossana
Ethiopian Premier League
05.03.26	Hadiya Hossana - Adama City	1:1 ✺
27.02.26	Ethio Electric - Hadiya Hossana	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Hadiya Hossana - Bahir Dar Kenema	0:1 ✺
09.02.26	Fasil Kenema - Hadiya Hossana	0:1 ✺
04.02.26	Hadiya Hossana - Mechal	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
03.11.25	Hadiya Hossana - Ethiopian Medhin	1:2
14.06.25	Ethiopian Medhin - Hadiya Hossana	3:2
31.01.25	Hadiya Hossana - Ethiopian Medhin	0:1
28.06.24	Ethiopian Medhin - Hadiya Hossana	1:0
09.12.23	Hadiya Hossana - Ethiopian Medhin	1:1
07.07.23	Ethiopian Medhin - Hadiya Hossana	0:2
24.02.23	Hadiya Hossana - Ethiopian Medhin	0:1

Ethiopian Medhin - Hadiya Hossana