Match Info
Premier League - Round 11Date: 24 December 2025, Wednesday
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Hadiya Hossana |
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Welayta Dicha |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.42 |
2.78 |
2.98 |
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 |
2.57 |
2.68 |
3.08 |
 Watch |
 |
2.45 |
2.6 |
3 |
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2.46 |
2.72 |
3.05 |
Watch |
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2.5 |
2.9 |
2.9 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.48 ↓
(3.17) |
2.74 ↓
(2.78) |
3 ↑
(2.43) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
- The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Hadiya Hossana
36.6% | Draw
33.2% | Welayta Dicha
30.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hadiya Hossana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hadiya Hossana's performance.Welayta Dicha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Welayta Dicha might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hadiya Hossana than the current prediction. (-7.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hadiya Hossana that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Welayta Dicha than the current prediction. (+7.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Welayta Dicha could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Hadiya Hossana - Welayta Dicha Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hadiya Hossana (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - Welayta Dicha (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Hadiya Hossana (votes: 1 - 50%). Welayta Dicha (votes: 1 - 50%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 15', 1 - 0, Alemayehu E. ⚽,
- 31', 2 - 0, Arficho H. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 66', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 16 and 15)In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hadiya Hossana won 2.In recent matches, Hadiya Hossana has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).Welayta Dicha is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2). The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Hadiya Hossana won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1:1.1).Including home matches between the teams, Hadiya Hossana won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.7:1.2).
Last Results with these Odds
Hadiya Hossana - the odds 3.17 are the expected chance of winning is 29.03%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Ethiopian Premier League | | | 19.04.25 | Welayta Dicha - Hadiya Hossana | 1:3 | | 30.10.24 | Hadiya Hossana - Welayta Dicha | 0:1 | | 16.06.24 | Welayta Dicha - Hadiya Hossana | 2:1 | | 28.01.24 | Hadiya Hossana - Welayta Dicha | 1:1 | | 20.04.23 | Hadiya Hossana - Welayta Dicha | 1:0 | | 27.10.22 | Welayta Dicha - Hadiya Hossana | 0:1 | | 26.06.22 | Hadiya Hossana - Welayta Dicha | 2:2 |
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