Match Info

Division 2 - Norra Götaland - Round 25

Date: 8 October 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Vänersborgs FK		Kumla

	1	X	2
	2.40	3.40	2.40
	2.38	3.5	2.52
	2.38	3.63	2.29
	2.45	3.79	2.41	Watch
	2.3	3.25	2.25
	2.39	3.52	2.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.15)	3.52 ↑ (3.3)	2.38 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vänersborgs FK
37.3%

Draw
25.3%

Kumla
37.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.1%

26.8%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

25.2%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vänersborgs FK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Kumla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kumla's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vänersborgs FK than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vänersborgs FK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kumla than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kumla, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Vänersborgs FK - Kumla Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Kumla (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kumla (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
65', 1 - 1, ⚽,
85', 2 - 1, ⚽,
88', 3 - 1, ⚽,
90+2', 3 - 2, ⚽,
90+5', 3 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 8th and 11th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vänersborgs FK won 2.

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Vänersborgs FK has recorded 5 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 21:18 (averaging 1.9:1.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Vänersborgs FK against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 13:8 goals (averaging 2.6:1.6 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vänersborgs FK
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
03.10.26	Lidkoping - Vänersborgs FK	1:0 ✺
26.09.26	Vänersborgs FK - Husqvarna	1:3 ✺
19.09.26	Vänersborgs FK - Tord	1:2 ✺
11.09.26	Stenungsunds - Vänersborgs FK	0:1 ✺
04.09.26	Vänersborgs FK - Ahlafors	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 LLLWW
- IFK Kumla
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
03.10.26	Skara - Kumla	3:1 ✺
26.09.26	Kumla - Lidkoping	1:0 ✺
18.09.26	Herrestads - Kumla	2:1 ✺
11.09.26	Kumla - Motala	0:0 ✺
04.09.26	Kumla - IFK Skövde	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
25.04.26	Kumla - Vänersborgs FK	0:0
02.08.25	Kumla - Vänersborgs FK	1:2
24.05.25	Vänersborgs FK - Kumla	2:1
11.10.24	Vänersborgs FK - Kumla	0:4
15.06.24	Kumla - Vänersborgs FK	3:2
23.06.22	Kumla - Vänersborgs FK	3:1
09.04.22	Vänersborgs FK - Kumla	0:1

Vänersborgs FK - Kumla