Match Info

WORLD: CLUB FRIENDLY

Date: 5 July 2023, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Hajduk Split		MTK Budapest

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.9	4.4	Watch
	1.65	3.75	4
	1.59	4.01	4.83
	1.53	3.9	5
	1.56	4.3	5.35	Watch
	1.62	4	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.83)	3.98 ↑ (3.79)	4.71 ↑ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hajduk Split
57.6%

Draw
23%

MTK Budapest
19.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51%

24.7%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

25.3%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hajduk Split has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hajduk Split's performance.

MTK Budapest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hajduk Split than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hajduk Split that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for MTK Budapest than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	12.5%	25%

Hajduk Split - MTK Budapest Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Hajduk will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). MTK will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hajduk: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Lucic I. (G) 11. Benrahou Y. 41. Dolcek I. 4. Ferro 23. Krovinovic F. (C) 17. Melnjak D. 29. Mlakar J. 21. Pukstas R. 77. Sahiti E. 31. Sarlija Z. 20. Sigur N.	1. Demjen P. (G) 11. Antonov N. 4. Bobal D. 2. Hei V. 14. Kadar T. 6. Kata M. (C) 16. Molnar A. 18. Nemeth K. 7. Stieber Z. 23. Thiam Khaly I. 19. Varkonyi B.
Substitutes
37. Antunovic M. 28. Brajkovic R. 34. Capan M. 88. Cubelic I. 39. Cuic F. 22. Dajaku L. 42. Dolonga N. 14. Grgic L. 32. Hrgovic S. 7. Kalik A. 36. Laus T. B. 10. Livaja M. 3. Prpic D. 1. Silic T. (G) 16. Sosic M.	10. Bognar I. . Horvath A. 21. Kocsis G. 20. Kovacs M. 13. Racz G. (G) 30. Spalek N. 24. Vadnai D. . Varju B. 97. Vegh B. 17. Zsori D. . Zuigeber A.

Preview

Neutral location.

Hajduk is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

MTK is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

MTK could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Hajduk is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hajduk Split
Club Friendly
02.07.23	Olimpija Ljubljana - Hajduk Split	1:0 ✺
28.06.23	Hajduk Split - Spartak Trnava	1:1 ✺
Croatian HNL
28.05.23	Hajduk Split - Šibenik	3:0 ✺
Croatian Cup
24.05.23	Hajduk Split - Šibenik	2:0 ✺
Croatian HNL
19.05.23	Slaven Belupo - Hajduk Split	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LTWWW
- MTK Budapest
Club Friendly
01.07.23	MTK Budapest - Soroksár	3:1 ✺
24.06.23	MTK Budapest - Kaposvari Rakoczi	4:1 ✺
Hungarian NB II
21.05.23	Gyirmót - MTK Budapest	1:2 ✺
14.05.23	MTK Budapest - Kazincbarcikai	1:0 ✺
08.05.23	Pecsi - MTK Budapest	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWWT

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hajduk Split
Croatian HNL
31.10.26	Hajduk Split - Gorica	✺
- MTK Budapest
Hungarian NB I
31.10.26	Zalaegerszegi TE - MTK Budapest	✺
Hungarian Cup
28.10.26	Monori - MTK Budapest	✺

Hajduk Split - MTK Budapest