Match Info

HNL - Round 30

Date: 17 April 2026, Friday

Location: Gradski stadion Ivan Kusek Apas (Koprivnica)

Referee: Kolaric P. (Cro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Italy	Como TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 9
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1


	Slaven Belupo		Hajduk Split

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.4	1.62
				Watch
	4.95	3.7	1.62
	5.23	3.89	1.68
	4.75	3.9	1.68	Watch
	4.75	3.6	1.67
	5.05	3.82	1.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.91 ↑ (3.7)	3.72 ↑ (3.38)	1.65 ↓ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Slaven Belupo
18.9%

Draw
24.9%

Hajduk Split
56.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.9%

27.2%

47.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.3%

26.5%

49.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Slaven Belupo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Slaven Belupo's form might have worsened.

Hajduk Split has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hajduk Split's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Slaven Belupo than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Slaven Belupo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hajduk Split than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hajduk Split, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	10%	70%

Slaven Belupo - Hajduk Split Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Slaven Belupo will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Hajduk will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hajduk: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Hajduk (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hajduk (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Hadzikic O. (G) 18. Kruselj F. 6. Bozic T. (C) 4. Kovacic D. 22. Jovic F. 15. Cubelic I. 21. Crepulja L. 17. Mazar F. 11. Mitrovic J. 7. Dabro M. 33. Isasegi K.	33. Silic T. (G) 32. Hrgovic S. 31. Sarlija Z. 15. Maresic D. 17. Melnjak D. 4. Pajaziti A. 23. Krovinovic F. 28. Brajkovic R. 21. Pukstas R. 9. Rebic A. 10. Livaja M. (C)
Substitutes
29. Ascic M. 24. Bosnjak L. 9. Bozic I. 32. Covic I. (G) 16. Curkovic L. 5. Katalinic Z. 1. Kolar T. (G) 23. Lepinjica I. 2. Medjimorec V. 20. Petrovic M. 19. Qestaj E. 26. Sivalec G.	30. Almena I. 34. Durdov B. 6. Guillamon H. 26. Guram A. 7. Kalik A. 41. Pocrnjic I. (G) 14. Raci R. 24. Sanyang A. 36. Skelin M. 37. Skoko N. 44. Stipica D. (G)
Coaches
Gregurina M.	Garcia G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Dabro M. ⚽, Kovacic D. (A),
28', Krovinovic F. ↓, Guillamon H. ↑,
36', Isasegi K. ↓, Sivalec G. ↑,
38', 1 - 1, Rebic A. ⚽, Pajaziti A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Livaja M. 🟨,
51', 2 - 1, Cubelic I. ⚽, Kruselj F. (A),
63', 2 - 2, Bozic T. (Own goal),
71', Hrgovic S. ↓, Skelin M. ↑,
72', Mitrovic J. 🟨,
77', Sivalec G. ↓, Medjimorec V. ↑,
80', Pajaziti A. 🟨,
83', Pukstas R. ↓, Kalik A. ↑,
83', Rebic A. ↓, Almena I. ↑,
89', Dabro M. ↓, Bozic I. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 5 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Slaven Belupo won 0.

Slaven Belupo is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Hajduk is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Hajduk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Hajduk is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Slaven Belupo: Caimacov M. (Hip Injury) Jakir A. (Injury) Nestorovski I. (Inactive) Zuta L. (Inactive)

There will not play in Hajduk: Almena I. (Muscle Injury) Fesyuk D. (Inactive) Hodak L. (Muscle Injury) Ivusic I. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Slaven Belupo: Grgic A. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Slaven Belupo won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 8:36. (average 0.4:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Slaven Belupo won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.5:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Hajduk Split	9	6	1	2	18:9	9	19
8	Slaven Belupo	8	2	1	5	7:16	-9	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Slaven Belupo
Croatian HNL
12.04.26	Varaždin - Slaven Belupo	2:1 ✺
Croatian Cup
08.04.26	Rijeka - Slaven Belupo	2:0 ✺
Croatian HNL
04.04.26	Slaven Belupo - Rijeka	0:2 ✺
22.03.26	Slaven Belupo - Osijek	0:0 ✺
14.03.26	Dinamo Zagreb - Slaven Belupo	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLTL
- Hajduk Split
Croatian HNL
12.04.26	Hajduk Split - Gorica	1:0 ✺
07.04.26	Istra 1961 - Hajduk Split	1:3 ✺
21.03.26	Vukovar 91 - Hajduk Split	0:6 ✺
15.03.26	Hajduk Split - Lokomotiva Zagreb	2:1 ✺
08.03.26	Hajduk Split - Dinamo Zagreb	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Croatian HNL
07.02.26	Hajduk Split - Slaven Belupo	2:0
02.11.25	Slaven Belupo - Hajduk Split	0:0
17.08.25	Hajduk Split - Slaven Belupo	3:0
05.04.25	Slaven Belupo - Hajduk Split	0:1
26.01.25	Hajduk Split - Slaven Belupo	0:0
20.10.24	Slaven Belupo - Hajduk Split	0:2
04.08.24	Hajduk Split - Slaven Belupo	2:1

Upcoming Matches