Match Info

Date: 3 October 2022, Monday


	Hajer		Al Hazem

	1	X	2
	3	2.9	2.25
	3.2	2.8	2.25
	3	2.85	2.23
	3.22	2.96	2.36
	3.2	2.7	2.25
	3.08	2.88	2.34	Watch
	3.05	2.9	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↓ (3.25)	2.86 ↑ (2.81)	2.28 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hajer
29%

Draw
31.5%

Al Hazem
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

32.3%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8%

32.2%

40%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hajer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Al Hazem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hajer than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Hazem than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	55.6%	33.3%

Hajer - Al Hazem Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Hajer will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Al Hazem will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League).

Hajer is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Al Hazem is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Al Hazem will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Hajer won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Hajer won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hajer Club
Saudi Division 1
18.09.22	Al-Qadisiya - Hajer	1:1 ✺
12.09.22	Hajer - Al-Riyadh	0:1 ✺
06.09.22	Al-Faisaly - Hajer	1:0 ✺
29.08.22	Hajer - Al-Shoalah	0:1 ✺
22.08.22	Al-Arabi Al-Saudi - Hajer	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TLLLT
- Al Hazem
Saudi Division 1
17.09.22	Al Hazem - Al-Kholood	1:1 ✺
12.09.22	Al-Qaisumah - Al Hazem	1:1 ✺
05.09.22	Al Hazem - Najran	4:1 ✺
30.08.22	Al-Orobah - Al Hazem	0:2 ✺
24.08.22	Al Hazem - Jeddah	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Division 1
07.02.18	Al Hazem - Hajer	3:0
10.10.17	Hajer - Al Hazem	0:0

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