Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 26

Date: 12 March 2026, Thursday

Location: Al-Hazem Club Stadium (Ar Rass)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	JACO Middle East
Brazil	BandSports
China	QQ Sports
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah App, Thmanyah


	Al Hazem		Al-Kholood

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.3	2.2
	2.78	3.4	2.32
	2.94	3.6	2.35
	2.81	3.66	2.3	Watch
	2.7	3.1	2.25
	2.89	3.57	2.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.43)	3.44 ↑ (3.36)	2.32 ↓ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Al Hazem
32.9%

Draw
27%

Al-Kholood
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

27.5%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

27%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Hazem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al Hazem's form might have worsened.

Al-Kholood has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Kholood's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Hazem than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Kholood than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	33.3%	46.7%

Al Hazem - Al Kholood Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Al Hazem will win (votes: 3 - 20%). Al-Kholood will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Kholood: 21.5% – 71.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Al Hazem (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Al-Kholood (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Al Hazem (votes: 2 - 50%). Al-Kholood (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Zaied I. (G) 2. Al Rashid S. 34. Al Dakheel A. (C) 3. Boutouil A. 70. Al Shamrani A. 24. Bah A. 10. Martins F. 32. Rosier L. 17. Mokwana E. 9. Al Somah O. 19. Al Habashi N.	31. Cozzani J. (G) 23. Gyomber N. 3. Utkus E. 38. Pinas S. 7. Al Shehri S. 39. Al Dawsari A. 6. Buckley J. 10. Kortajarena I. 46. Al Aliwa A. 11. Bahebri H. (C) 18. Enrique R.
Substitutes
26. Al Dhuwayhi A. 33. Al Ghamdi M. (G) 82. Al Harbi A. 15. Al Khaibary A. 27. Al Nakhli A. 5. Al Yami M. 37. Oumarou Y. 11. Sayoud A. 4. Tanker S.	24. Adi A. 12. Al Asmari H. 4. Al Dosari J. 8. Al Safari A. 30. Al Shammari M. (G) 19. Khalifah M. 96. N'Doram K. 70. Sawan M. 15. Solan R.
Coaches
Kadri J.	Buckingham D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Al Habashi N. ⚽, Bah A. (A),
44', 1 - 1, Enrique R. ⚽, Al Aliwa A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', Martins F. 🟨,
67', Al Dawsari A. ↓, Sawan M. ↑,
69', Al Rashid S. 🟨,
73', Martins F. ↓, Al Harbi A. ↑,
74', Al Rashid S. ↓, Sayoud A. ↑,
78', Mokwana E. ↓, Al Dhuwayhi A. ↑,
78', Al Shamrani A. ↓, Al Nakhli A. ↑,
85', Enrique R. 🟨,
86', 2 - 1, Al Dhuwayhi A. ⚽,
88', Al Harbi A. 🟨,
89', Al Somah O. ↓, Oumarou Y. ↑,
89', Al Shehri S. ↓, Solan R. ↑,
89', Kortajarena I. ↓, N'Doram K. ↑,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 12 and 14)

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Al Hazem won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Al Hazem won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Al Kholood	8	3	3	2	12:15	-3	12
10	Al Hazem	8	2	3	3	8:10	-2	9

Last Results with these Odds

Al-Kholood - the odds 2.68 are the expected chance of winning is 34.49%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al Hazem
Saudi Professional League
06.03.26	Al-Khaleej - Al Hazem	2:1 ✺
27.02.26	Al Hazem - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	3:1 ✺
24.02.26	Al Hazem - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al Hazem	4:0 ✺
12.02.26	Al Hazem - Al Akhdoud	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LWTLW
- Al-Kholood Club
Saudi Professional League
07.03.26	Al-Kholood - Al-Qadisiya	1:4 ✺
28.02.26	Neom - Al-Kholood	1:2 ✺
24.02.26	Al-Khaleej - Al-Kholood	2:3 ✺
19.02.26	Al-Kholood - Al-Riyadh	0:2 ✺
14.02.26	Al-Najma - Al-Kholood	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
21.11.25	Al-Kholood - Al Hazem	1:2
Saudi Division 1
20.02.23	Al-Kholood - Al Hazem	0:2
17.09.22	Al Hazem - Al-Kholood	1:1

Upcoming Matches