Match Info

Liga Premier Serie A - Round 20

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday


	Halcones		Avispones de Chilpancingo

	1	X	2
	1.51	4.64	4.81
	1.44	4	5
	1.42	4.4	5.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.39)	4.35 ↑ (4.33)	5.22 ↓ (6.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Halcones
62%

Draw
20.8%

Avispones de Chilpancingo
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.5%

21%

13.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.5%

20.4%

13.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Halcones has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Avispones de Chilpancingo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Halcones than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Halcones, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avispones de Chilpancingo than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Halcones - Avispones de Chilpancingo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: ) and 11).

Recent performances by Halcones have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Chilpancingo is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Chilpancingo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Halcones is the clear favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Halcones won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Halcones FC Mexico
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
13.02.26	Santiago - Halcones	3:1 ✺
07.02.26	Halcones - Zacatepec Siglo	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Canamy - Halcones	0:3 ✺
24.01.26	Halcones - Ciervos	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Correcaminos UAT 2 - Halcones	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LTWWL
- Avispones de Chilpancingo
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
14.02.26	Avispones de Chilpancingo - Lobos ULMX	1:2 ✺
08.02.26	Real Apodaca - Avispones de Chilpancingo	4:2 ✺
31.01.26	Gavilanes de Matamoros - Avispones de Chilpancingo	2:1 ✺
24.01.26	Avispones de Chilpancingo - Santiago	1:1 ✺
17.01.26	Zacatepec Siglo - Avispones de Chilpancingo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
04.10.25	Avispones de Chilpancingo - Halcones	3:2

Halcones - Avispones de Chilpancingo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide