Match Info

MEXICO: LIGA PREMIER SERIE A - ROUND 29

Date: 23 March 2024, Saturday


	Halcones		Jaiba Brava

	1	X	2
	5	3.5	1.57
	5.28	3.71	1.58
	5.28	3.71	1.58
	5.55	3.68	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.28 ↑ (3.34)	3.65 ↑ (3.16)	1.57 ↓ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Halcones
17.2%

Draw
24.9%

Jaiba Brava
57.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.3%

28.9%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5%

28.1%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Halcones has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Halcones's form might have worsened.

Jaiba Brava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jaiba Brava's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Halcones than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Halcones, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaiba Brava than the current prediction. (-12.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jaiba Brava, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Halcones - Jaiba Brava Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Vidana Galvan O. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
71', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: )).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Tampico Madero will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Halcones de Zapopan won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Halcones FC Mexico
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
17.03.24	Montañeses - Halcones	2:1 ✺
09.03.24	Halcones - Escorpiones	1:1 ✺
06.03.24	Cafetaleros de Chiapas - Halcones	0:0 ✺
02.03.24	Halcones - Racing de Veracruz	1:0 ✺
24.02.24	Inter de Querétaro - Halcones	4:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 LTTWL
- Club Jaiba Brava
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
17.03.24	Jaiba Brava - San Juan de Aragón	6:0 ✺
09.03.24	Lobos ULMX - Jaiba Brava	1:0 ✺
06.03.24	Jaiba Brava - La Piedad	3:2 penalties ✺
02.03.24	Jaiba Brava - Montañeses	4:1 ✺
24.02.24	Escorpiones - Jaiba Brava	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
22.10.23	Jaiba Brava - Halcones	3:2

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