The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cancún 52.8%
Draw 25.2%
Jaiba Brava 21.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
53.6%
24.7%
21.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.5%
24.2%
21.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cancún has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Jaiba Brava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cancún than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaiba Brava than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Cancún - Jaiba Brava Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 6th in the Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals) and 14th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cancún won 1.
Cancún has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Jaiba Brava is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Jaiba Brava may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this matchup, Cancún is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Cancún has recorded 2 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:11 (averaging 1.1:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Cancún against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 3:5 goals (averaging 0.8:1.3 per game).
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