Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 38

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday


	Halesowen Town		Stamford

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.95	5.15
	1.52	4.21	5.23
	1.53	4.41	5.28	Watch
	1.5	3.8	5
	1.47	4.15	5.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.53)	4.1 ↑ (4)	5.24 ↑ (4.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Halesowen Town
60.5%

Draw
22.2%

Stamford
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.1%

22.6%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

21.7%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Halesowen Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Stamford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Halesowen Town than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stamford than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Halesowen Town - Stamford Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Cavallo J. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', 1 - 1, Wollacott R. ⚽,
48', 2 - 1, Holmes F. ⚽,
84', 3 - 1, Finn K. ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 7 and 18).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Halesowen won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Halesowen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Halesowen is a strong favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Halesowen won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:14. (average 1.6:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Halesowen won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1.6:1.2).

Outrights of English Southern League Central Division for now

Halesowen: 1.52% Stamford: 0.39%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Halesowen	7	4	0	3	8:8	0	12
22	Stamford	9	0	0	9	1:25	-24	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Halesowen Town
English Southern League Central Division
28.03.26	Real Bedford - Halesowen Town	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Halesowen Town - Bury Town	3:1 ✺
17.03.26	Halesowen Town - Banbury United	3:0 ✺
14.03.26	Spalding United - Halesowen Town	3:2 ✺
10.03.26	Stratford Town - Halesowen Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWWLW
- Stamford AFC
English Southern League Central Division
28.03.26	Stamford - Bishops Stortford	1:0 ✺
24.03.26	Stratford Town - Stamford	4:2 ✺
21.03.26	Real Bedford - Stamford	3:0 ✺
17.03.26	Alvechurch - Stamford	2:0 ✺
14.03.26	Stamford - Leiston	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
23.08.25	Stamford - Halesowen Town	1:1
26.04.25	Stamford - Halesowen Town	2:2
14.01.25	Halesowen Town - Stamford	2:0
09.12.23	Stamford - Halesowen Town	3:0
09.09.23	Halesowen Town - Stamford	2:0
English FA Trophy
05.11.19	Stamford - Halesowen Town	0:3
29.10.19	Halesowen Town - Stamford	2:2

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