Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 36

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday


	Halesowen Town		Bury Town

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.5	3.4
	1.8	3.6	3.55
	1.93	3.42	3.61
	1.93	3.64	3.61	Watch
	1.85	3.4	3.25
	1.86	3.42	3.69
	1.91	3.5	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.62)	3.5 ↓ (3.89)	3.48 ↓ (4.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Halesowen Town
48.2%

Draw
25.8%

Bury Town
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

23.3%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9%

24.9%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Halesowen Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Halesowen Town's form might have worsened.

Bury Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bury Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Halesowen Town than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Halesowen Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bury Town than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bury Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Halesowen Town - Bury Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, McGrath J. ⚽,
25', 1 - 1, Butterfield K. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', 2 - 1, Cowley J. ⚽,
49', 3 - 1, Cowley J. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs: ) and 12).

Halesowen has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bury Town is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Halesowen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Bury Town has had a series of home games.

In this match, Halesowen is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Halesowen won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Outrights of English Southern League Central Division for now

Bury Town: 3.59% Halesowen: 1.52%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Bury Town	9	8	0	1	18:8	10	24
10	Halesowen	7	4	0	3	8:8	0	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Halesowen Town
English Southern League Central Division
17.03.26	Halesowen Town - Banbury United	3:0 ✺
14.03.26	Spalding United - Halesowen Town	3:2 ✺
10.03.26	Stratford Town - Halesowen Town	0:2 ✺
07.03.26	Halesowen Town - Stourbridge	0:3 ✺
28.02.26	Bishops Stortford - Halesowen Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLWLL
- Bury Town
English Southern League Central Division
14.03.26	Bury Town - Redditch United	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Bury Town - Bishops Stortford	2:0 ✺
03.03.26	Bury Town - Quorn	4:4 ✺
28.02.26	Stratford Town - Bury Town	0:2 ✺
21.02.26	Bury Town - Needham Market	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TWTWT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
08.11.25	Bury Town - Halesowen Town	2:1

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