Match Info

National League - Round 3

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Location: The Shay (Halifax)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Halifax Town		Tamworth

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.7	2.5
	2.20	3.20	2.75
	2.15	3.3	3.05
	2.52	3.61	2.67
	2.36	3.57	2.73	Watch
	2.45	3.55	2.6
	2.41	3.79	2.56
	2.38	3.45	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.12)	3.52 ↑ (3.36)	2.7 ↓ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Halifax Town
39.4%

Draw
26.3%

Tamworth
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

27.4%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

27%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Halifax Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Tamworth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tamworth's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Halifax Town than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tamworth than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tamworth, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Halifax Town - Tamworth Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Grant T. (G) 2. Bardell M. 8. Flint W. 5. Hobson S. 3. Conte R. 17. Tollitt B. 4. Hugill W. 11. Douglas C. 30. Johnson C. 10. Gilsenan Z. 9. Carty C.	1. Singh J. (C) 2. Lyttle T. 18. Cullinane-Liburd J. 5. Parkes T. 30. Roberts M. 4. Kurtaran T. 6. Bramble T. 16. Calder R. 20. Tshikuna N. 10. Donnelly K. 11. Fairlamb L.
Substitutes
18. Allen A. 7. Bray O. 23. Crowe D. 1. Johnson S. (G) 22. Kawa D. 14. Morgan-Smith A. 20. Trusty T.	7. Acquaye B. 9. Creaney D. 14. Dyson O. 23. Hutchinson J. 39. Lovett R. (G) 19. McGlinchey T. 8. Milnes B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
17', Hugill W. 🟨,
18', 1 - 0, Carty C. ⚽,
21', Fairlamb L. 🟨,
23', Johnson C. 🟨,
34', Lyttle T. ↓, Dyson O. ↑,
42', 2 - 0, Gilsenan Z. ⚽, Tollitt B. (A),
45', 3 - 0, Gilsenan Z. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Fairlamb L. ↓, Acquaye B. ↑,
46', Kurtaran T. ↓, Milnes B. ↑,
49', 4 - 0, Tollitt B. ⚽, Johnson C. (A),
61', Tshikuna N. ↓, Creaney D. ↑,
67', Tollitt B. ↓, Allen A. ↑,
74', Allen A. 🟨,
75', Carty C. ↓, Morgan-Smith A. ↑,
76', 4 - 1, Bramble T. ⚽, Parkes T. (A),
79', Donnelly K. ↓, Hutchinson J. ↑,
86', Gilsenan Z. ↓, Crowe D. ↑,
86', Douglas C. ↓, Trusty T. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Halifax won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Halifax will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Halifax won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 26:10. (average 2.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Halifax won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:4. (average 3.2:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	FC Halifax	13	6	2	5	22:15	7	20
18	Tamworth	13	4	2	7	21:30	-9	14

Last Results with these Odds

Halifax Town - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 43.56%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Halifax Town
English National League Cup
18.08.26	Halifax Town - Derby County U21	6:2 ✺
English National League
15.08.26	Halifax Town - Boreham Wood	1:3 ✺
08.08.26	Forest Green Rovers - Halifax Town	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Curzon Ashton - Halifax Town	0:1 ✺
28.07.26	Rochdale - Halifax Town	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WLLWW
- Tamworth
English National League Cup
18.08.26	Tamworth - Newcastle United U21	5:3 ✺
English National League
15.08.26	Tamworth - Fylde	1:2 ✺
08.08.26	Boreham Wood - Tamworth	3:3 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	AFC Telford United - Tamworth	1:3 ✺
28.07.26	Tamworth - Macclesfield Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

English National League
06.04.26	Halifax Town - Tamworth	2:2
English National League Cup
27.01.26	Tamworth - Halifax Town	1:0
English National League
30.12.25	Tamworth - Halifax Town	0:2
08.02.25	Tamworth - Halifax Town	1:2
05.10.24	Halifax Town - Tamworth	3:2
English National League North
14.01.17	Tamworth - Halifax Town	2:6
20.08.16	Halifax Town - Tamworth	4:0

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