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Current Win Probability
Erzgebirge Aue 33.6%
Draw 23.7%
Hallescher 42.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.9%
23.2%
43.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Erzgebirge Aue have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
The chances for Hallescher have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hallescher than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Erzgebirge Aue - Hallescher Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+1', 0 - 1, Hartmann F. ⚽,
Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 8th and 4th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aue won 3.
In recent outings, Aue has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Hallescher is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Aue has recorded 7 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 24:11 (averaging 2.4:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Aue against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 17:2 goals (averaging 2.8:0.3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Hallescher
14
8
5
1
22:11
11
29
7
Aue
14
7
3
4
23:18
5
24
Last Results with these Odds
Erzgebirge Aue - the odds 2.68 are the expected chance of winning is 33.61%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.