Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 6

Date: 17 September 2023, Sunday

Location: Erzgebirgsstadion (Aue)

Referee: Ballweg C. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Erzgebirge Aue		Hallescher

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.5	3.1
	2.15	3.6	3.1
	2.23	3.66	3.21
	2.1	3.3	3
	2.11	3.62	3.08
	2.14	3.45	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (2)	3.52 ↑ (3.45)	3.07 ↓ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Erzgebirge Aue
43.4%

Draw
26.3%

Hallescher
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

26.6%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

25.9%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erzgebirge Aue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Hallescher has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hallescher than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	27.3%	18.2%

Erzgebirge Aue - Hallescher Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Aue will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Hallescher will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aue: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mannel M. (C) 2. Danhof T. 24. Nkansah S. 4. Vukancic N. 26. Jakob K. 10. Pepic M. 21. Schikora M. 11. Sijaric O. 14. Tashchy B. 7. Seitz S. 15. Bar M.	1. Muller S. (G) 11. Baumgart T. 33. Nietfeld J. (C) 31. Landgraf N. 22. Hug N. 17. Casar A. 10. Gayret T. 20. Deniz T. 37. Wolf M. 28. Baumann D. 14. Crosthwaite H.
Substitutes
5. Burger K. 25. Kips T. (G) 13. Majetschak E. 9. Meuer S. 29. Rosenlocher L. 12. Schadlich F. 8. Schwirten J. 34. Stefaniak M. 30. Thiel M.	40. Berko E. 29. Bolyki A. 42. Eitschberger J. 16. Halangk L. 45. Hasenhuttl P. 6. Lofolomo E. 30. Schulze M. (G) 5. Vollert J. 2. Zieleniecki S.
Coaches
Dotchev P.	Ristic S.

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Aue won 3.

Aue is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hallescher is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Aue have a series of guest games.

Aue will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Aue won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 18-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Aue won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Erzgebirge Aue
Club Friendly
07.09.23	Magdeburg - Erzgebirge Aue	1:1 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
02.09.23	1860 München - Erzgebirge Aue	1:2 ✺
26.08.23	Lübeck - Erzgebirge Aue	1:1 ✺
23.08.23	Erzgebirge Aue - Sandhausen	2:1 ✺
20.08.23	Rot-Weiß Essen - Erzgebirge Aue	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.6 TWTWT
- Hallescher FC
German 3 Bundesliga
03.09.23	Hallescher - Sandhausen	4:1 ✺
27.08.23	Waldhof Mannheim - Hallescher	3:2 ✺
22.08.23	Hallescher - Duisburg	1:1 ✺
19.08.23	Ingolstadt - Hallescher	4:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
12.08.23	Hallescher - Greuther Fürth	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
08.04.23	Hallescher - Erzgebirge Aue	5:2
Club Friendly
11.12.22	Erzgebirge Aue - Hallescher	1:0
German 3 Bundesliga
14.10.22	Erzgebirge Aue - Hallescher	1:1
Club Friendly
04.09.21	Erzgebirge Aue - Hallescher	6:0
German 3 Bundesliga
18.03.16	Erzgebirge Aue - Hallescher	4:0
03.10.15	Hallescher - Erzgebirge Aue	1:0
Club Friendly
19.07.14	Hallescher - Erzgebirge Aue	1:2

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