Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 16

Date: 25 November 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Hallescher		Saarbrücken

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.5	2.1
	3	3.7	2.1
	3.1	3.6	2.15	Watch
	3.22	3.79	2.19
	3.22	3.79	2.18
	2.88	3.5	2.05
	3.05	3.7	2.08	Watch
	3	3.5	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↑ (2.6)	3.64 ↑ (3.37)	2.12 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hallescher
30.4%

Draw
25.6%

Saarbrücken
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

27.4%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

27.3%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hallescher has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hallescher's form might have worsened.

Saarbrücken has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Saarbrücken's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hallescher than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saarbrücken than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Saarbrücken, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Hallescher - Saarbrücken Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Schulze M. (G) 2. Zieleniecki S. 6. Lofolomo E. 5. Vollert J. 23. Halimi B. 20. Deniz T. (C) 42. Eitschberger J. 22. Hug N. 28. Baumann D. 10. Gayret T. 40. Berko E.	1. Schreiber T. (G) 16. Thoelke B. 8. Zeitz M. (C) 14. Uaferro B. 7. Rizzuto C. 6. Sontheimer P. 21. Di Michele Sanchez F. 33. Kerber L. 10. Rabihic K. 25. Naifi A. 9. Brunker K.
Substitutes
11. Baumgart T. 32. Bendel L. (G) 29. Bolyki A. 21. Dietrich T. 16. Halangk L. 45. Hasenhuttl P. 33. Nietfeld J. 9. Skenderovic M. 37. Wolf M.	11. Biada J. 29. Boeder L. 23. Civeja T. 20. Gunther-Schmidt J. 31. Neudecker R. 30. Paterok T. (G) 38. Sahin L. 22. Stehle S. F.
Coaches
Ristic S.	Ziehl R.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hallescher won 0.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Hallescher could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Saarbrücken will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Hallescher won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 8-24.

Including matches at home between the teams Hallescher won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hallescher FC
German 3 Bundesliga
11.11.23	Verl - Hallescher	3:2 ✺
05.11.23	Hallescher - Viktoria Köln	2:1 ✺
28.10.23	Ulm 1846 - Hallescher	2:3 ✺
21.10.23	Hallescher - Jahn Regensburg	1:2 ✺
08.10.23	Hallescher - Preußen Münster	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LWWLL
- 1. FC Saarbrücken
German 3 Bundesliga
19.11.23	Saarbrücken - Dynamo Dresden	1:0 ✺
11.11.23	Saarbrücken - 1860 München	2:3 ✺
04.11.23	Sandhausen - Saarbrücken	2:2 ✺
German DFB Pokal
01.11.23	Saarbrücken - Bayern Munich	2:1 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
22.10.23	Rot-Weiß Essen - Saarbrücken	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 93.8 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
13.05.23	Saarbrücken - Hallescher	2:0
12.11.22	Hallescher - Saarbrücken	1:2
19.03.22	Saarbrücken - Hallescher	2:1
16.10.21	Hallescher - Saarbrücken	2:3
01.02.21	Hallescher - Saarbrücken	1:1
04.10.20	Saarbrücken - Hallescher	4:0
12.04.14	Saarbrücken - Hallescher	3:0

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