Match Info

3. Liga - Round 34

Date: 20 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Ludwigspark Stadion (Saarbrücken)

Referee: Gansloweit T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 4
Germany	DFB Play, Magenta Sport, tv.dfb.de
Ghana	Globe TV
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Serbia	SportKlub 4
Usa	ESPN 3, ESPN App
World	Onefootball


	Saarbrücken		Dynamo Dresden

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.4	2.7
	2.4	3.4	2.7
	2.45	3.45	2.7
	2.52	3.42	2.84
	2.5	3.32	2.74	Watch
	2.4	3.25	2.62
	2.44	3.26	2.68	Watch
	2.3	3.3	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↓ (2.48)	3.35 ↓ (3.38)	2.74 ↑ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saarbrücken
38.2%

Draw
27.8%

Dynamo Dresden
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

27.5%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

27.6%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saarbrücken has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Dynamo Dresden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saarbrücken than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Dresden than the current prediction. (+1%)

Saarbrücken - Dynamo Dresden Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Menzel P. (C) 4. Sonnenberg S. 16. Thoelke B. 27. Bichsel J. 11. Multhaup M. 6. Sontheimer P. 7. Rizzuto C. 5. Krahn E. 10. Rabihic K. 29. Kruger F. 9. Brunker K.	1. Schreiber T. (G) 32. Sterner J. 15. Kammerknecht C. 23. Bunning L. 28. Risch S. 5. Sapina V. 27. Hauptmann N. (C) 29. Boeder L. 10. Lemmer J. 33. Daferner C. 11. Kother D.
Substitutes
23. Civeja T. 2. Fahrner P. 24. Feiertag S. 20. Gunther-Schmidt J. 1. Paterok T. (G) 33. Schumacher T. 14. Uaferro B. 18. Wilhelm L. 8. Zeitz M.	22. Baur M. 17. Casar A. 39. Kubatta D. 30. Kutschke S. 26. Marx J. H. 21. Meissner R. 24. Menzel T. 37. Mesenholer D. (G) 25. Oehmichen J.
Coaches
Ziehl R.	Stamm T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Daferner C. ⚽, Lemmer J. (A),
9', Lemmer J. 🟨,
11', 0 - 2, Thoelke B. (Own goal),
14', Brunker K. 🟨,
21', 1 - 2, Sonnenberg S. ⚽, Kruger F. (A),
41', Sterner J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Thoelke B. ↓, Wilhelm L. ↑,
55', Krahn E. 🟨,
56', 1 - 3, Hauptmann N. ⚽,
64', Multhaup M. ↓, Feiertag S. ↑,
64', Krahn E. ↓, Civeja T. ↑,
67', 1 - 4, Kother D. ⚽,
68', Hauptmann N. ↓, Baur M. ↑,
69', Feiertag S. 🟨,
73', Boeder L. ↓, Kubatta D. ↑,
73', Daferner C. ↓, Kutschke S. ↑,
73', Rizzuto C. ↓, Schumacher T. ↑,
79', Rabihic K. ↓, Zeitz M. ↑,
85', Sonnenberg S. 🟨,
86', Lemmer J. ↓, Menzel T. ↑,
86', Kother D. ↓, Oehmichen J. ↑,
90+2', Bichsel J. 🟨,
90+4', Sontheimer P. 🟨,
90+4', Bunning L. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 4 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Saarbrücken won 4.

Recent matches Saarbrücken is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Dynamo Dresden is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Dynamo Dresden have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Saarbrücken won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12:5 (average 1.7:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Saarbrücken won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:1 (average 1.7:0.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Saarbrücken - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 37.44%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Saarbrücken
German 3 Bundesliga
11.04.25	Wehen Wiesbaden - Saarbrücken	1:1 ✺
08.04.25	Saarbrücken - Erzgebirge Aue	2:0 ✺
05.04.25	Saarbrücken - Osnabrück	1:1 ✺
29.03.25	Hansa Rostock - Saarbrücken	0:0 ✺
14.03.25	Saarbrücken - VfB Stuttgart II	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TWTTL
- Dynamo Dresden
German 3 Bundesliga
12.04.25	Dynamo Dresden - Osnabrück	0:1 ✺
09.04.25	Dynamo Dresden - Ingolstadt	2:2 ✺
04.04.25	Hannover II - Dynamo Dresden	2:3 ✺
30.03.25	Dynamo Dresden - Wehen Wiesbaden	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
20.03.25	Dynamo Dresden - Teplice	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
23.11.24	Dynamo Dresden - Saarbrücken	1:1
07.04.24	Dynamo Dresden - Saarbrücken	1:3
19.11.23	Saarbrücken - Dynamo Dresden	1:0
14.04.23	Saarbrücken - Dynamo Dresden	2:0
22.10.22	Dynamo Dresden - Saarbrücken	1:2
13.03.21	Dynamo Dresden - Saarbrücken	1:1
07.11.20	Saarbrücken - Dynamo Dresden	2:1

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