Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 13

Date: 28 October 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Ulm 1846		Hallescher

	1	X	2
	1.7	4.2	4.5
	1.66	4	4.5
	1.68	4	4.5	Watch
	1.69	4.3	4.83
	1.7	4.24	4.7
	1.6	3.9	4.33
	1.64	4	4.55	Watch
	1.66	3.8	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.74)	4.06 ↑ (3.8)	4.51 ↑ (3.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ulm 1846
56.2%

Draw
23.1%

Hallescher
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

23.8%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

22.8%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ulm 1846 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Hallescher has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ulm 1846 than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hallescher than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.6%	3.6%	1.8%

Ulm 1846 - Hallescher Predictions

Users Predictions: Ulm 1846 will win (53 of 56 users predict this - 94.64%).
Confidence interval (95%): 88.74% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
39. Ortag C. (G) 6. Geyer T. 4. Gaal T. 25. Yarbrough L. 7. Allgeier B. 23. Brandt M. 26. Maier P. 43. Rosch R. 11. Chessa D. 33. Higl F. 22. Scienza L.	30. Schulze M. (G) 33. Nietfeld J. 6. Lofolomo E. 5. Vollert J. 42. Eitschberger J. 20. Deniz T. 22. Hug N. 28. Baumann D. 10. Gayret T. 40. Berko E. 17. Casar A.
Substitutes
8. Ahrend L. 29. De Sousa Oelsner D. 27. Grozinger D. 21. Jann N. 10. Ludwig A. 1. Otto L. (G) 28. Risch S. 9. Roser L. 31. Ruhle T.	11. Baumgart T. 16. Halangk L. 23. Halimi B. 45. Hasenhuttl P. 27. Meier M. 1. Muller S. (G) 9. Skenderovic M. 19. Wegmann J. 2. Zieleniecki S.
Coaches
Worle T.	Ristic S.

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Ulm is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Hallescher has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Hallescher could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ulm is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ulm 1846
German 3 Bundesliga
22.10.23	Erzgebirge Aue - Ulm 1846	1:2 ✺
15.10.23	Ulm 1846 - Dynamo Dresden	2:3 ✺
06.10.23	Sandhausen - Ulm 1846	1:2 ✺
03.10.23	Ulm 1846 - 1860 München	1:0 ✺
30.09.23	Ingolstadt - Ulm 1846	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WLWWL
- Hallescher FC
German 3 Bundesliga
21.10.23	Hallescher - Jahn Regensburg	1:2 ✺
08.10.23	Hallescher - Preußen Münster	1:4 ✺
04.10.23	Dynamo Dresden - Hallescher	2:1 ✺
30.09.23	Lübeck - Hallescher	2:2 ✺
23.09.23	Hallescher - 1860 München	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLTL

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