Match Info

GERMANY: Regionalliga North - Round 12

Date: 3 October 2024, Thursday


	Hamburger II		Todesfelde

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.9	3.8
	1.66	4.2	4.2
	1.66	4.3	4.15
	1.66	4.21	4.02
	1.7	3.8	3.8
	1.65	4.05	4.1
	1.66	4.1	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.99)	4.08 ↑ (3.66)	4 ↑ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hamburger II
54.8%

Draw
22.4%

Todesfelde
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

25.2%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

25.8%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hamburger II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hamburger II's performance.

Todesfelde has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Todesfelde might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamburger II than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hamburger II that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Todesfelde than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Todesfelde could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hamburger II - Todesfelde Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Beleme D. ⚽,
42', Pajonk M. (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
64', 2 - 0, Yalcinkaya B. ⚽,
71', 3 - 0, Sillah O. ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Hamburg II is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Todesfelde is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Todesfelde have a series of home games.

In this match Hamburg II is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hamburger II
German Regionalliga North
28.09.24	Werder Bremen II - Hamburger II	5:0 ✺
22.09.24	Hamburger II - Oldenburg	5:0 ✺
14.09.24	Blau-Weiß Lohne - Hamburger II	3:2 ✺
11.09.24	Jeddeloh - Hamburger II	2:2 ✺
07.09.24	Hamburger II - Kickers Emden	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWLTL
- SV Todesfelde
German Regionalliga North
28.09.24	Todesfelde - St. Pauli II	2:4 ✺
22.09.24	Todesfelde - Meppen	0:0 ✺
18.09.24	Todesfelde - Teutonia Ottensen	2:0 ✺
15.09.24	Werder Bremen II - Todesfelde	1:2 ✺
07.09.24	Todesfelde - Oldenburg	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 LTWWT

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