Match Info

Regionalliga North - Round 14

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Nordfv


	Hamburger II		Werder Bremen II

	1	X	2
	2.52	3.85	2.3
	2.54	4.05	2.38
	2.4	3.82	2.32
	2.9	3.8	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↓ (2.86)	3.88 ↓ (3.93)	2.26 ↑ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hamburger II
35.5%

Draw
23.7%

Werder Bremen II
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

23.2%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

23.3%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hamburger II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Werder Bremen II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamburger II than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Werder Bremen II than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Hamburger II - Werder Bremen II Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Mbock P. ⚽,
24', 1 - 1, Ojo K. ⚽,
40', 2 - 1, Bornschein L. ⚽,
45+2', 3 - 1, Ojo K. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
48', 4 - 1, Pherai I. ⚽,
58', 5 - 1, Pherai I. ⚽,
62', 5 - 2, Mbock P. ⚽,
79', 6 - 2, Adam R. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Regionalliga North (Relegation) and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hamburg II won 4.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Werder Bremen II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Hamburg II has had a series of away games.

Werder Bremen II will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Hamburg II won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:27. (average 1.5:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Hamburg II won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.3:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hamburger II
German Regionalliga North
04.10.25	Kickers Emden - Hamburger II	3:4 ✺
01.10.25	Hamburger II - Eintracht Norderstedt	2:2 ✺
27.09.25	Schöningen - Hamburger II	2:1 ✺
19.09.25	Altona - Hamburger II	0:2 ✺
10.09.25	Hannoverscher SC - Hamburger II	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 WTLWL
- Werder Bremen II
German Regionalliga North
05.10.25	Bremer SV - Werder Bremen II	0:3 ✺
30.09.25	Werder Bremen II - Lübeck	4:0 ✺
26.09.25	Werder Bremen II - Kickers Emden	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Drochtersen Assel - Werder Bremen II	3:2 ✺
17.09.25	Werder Bremen II - Eintracht Norderstedt	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga North
28.09.24	Werder Bremen II - Hamburger II	5:0
16.04.23	Hamburger II - Werder Bremen II	2:0
08.10.22	Werder Bremen II - Hamburger II	1:5
29.04.22	Hamburger II - Werder Bremen II	2:1
20.03.22	Werder Bremen II - Hamburger II	1:2
14.09.19	Hamburger II - Werder Bremen II	0:1
25.11.18	Hamburger II - Werder Bremen II	0:0

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