Match Info

Bundesliga Women - Round 8

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Volksparkstadion (Hamburg) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Soder A. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Austria	17:00	DAZN
Brazil	13:00	DAZN Brasil
Canada	12:00	DAZN Canada
Denmark	17:00	Viaplay
Finland	18:00	Viaplay
France	17:00	DAZN France
Germany	17:00	DAZN Deutsch, Magenta Sport, Sport 1
Iceland	16:00	Viaplay
Japan	01:00	DAZN Japan
Netherlands	17:00	Viaplay
Norway	17:00	Viaplay
Portugal	16:00	DAZN / App
Spain	17:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	17:00	Viaplay
Switzerland	17:00	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV
United Kingdom	16:00	DAZN
Usa	12:00	DAZN USA
International	16:00	OneFootball TV


	Hamburger SV		Union Berlin

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.40	3.50	1.82
	3.8	3.55	1.72	Watch
	4.42	3.99	1.69
	3.67	3.83	1.87	Watch
	4.3	3.9	1.65
	4.36	3.89	1.71
	3.8	3.9	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.96 ↓ (4.37)	3.79 ↓ (3.88)	1.73 ↑ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hamburger SV
23.1%

Draw
24.1%

Union Berlin
52.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

20.5%

23.1%

56.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.8%

22.3%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hamburger SV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Union Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Union Berlin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hamburger SV - Union Berlin Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hamburg (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Szemik K. (G) 29. Eggert L. 4. Mirzaliyeva N. 6. Bohler A. 21. Donges J. 7. Linberg C. 8. Stoldt S. 28. Machtens P. (C) 10. Morich C. 11. Brunnthaler M. 37. Bartz P.	28. Bohi N. (G) 2. Schneider T. 26. Tysiak A. 19. Steuerwald S. (C) 5. Pujols J. 77. Janssens J. 41. Kamber L. 32. Hausicke L. 42. Reissner N. 23. Bauereisen N. 9. Weidauer S.
Substitutes
36. Baum J. (G) 25. Klinck I. 14. Matysik S. 39. Racke N. 23. Schwalm V. 26. Wrede J.	10. Campbell E. 27. Egli L. 6. Grawe L. 11. Orschmann D. 31. Pawollek T. 40. Schulz S. (G) 17. Steinert J. 30. Veit J. 21. Weiss A.
Coaches
Cardoso R.	Eta M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Stoldt S. ⚽, Bartz P. (A),
15', 2 - 0, Linberg C. ⚽,
18', Hausicke L. 🟨,
21', Linberg C. 🟨,
38', Morich C. 🟨,
43', Kamber L. 🟨,
45+2', 2 - 1, Kamber L. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
49', 3 - 1, Stoldt S. (Penalty Awarded),
49', Bohi N. 🟨,
50', 3 - 2, Bauereisen N. ⚽, Pujols J. (A),
60', Kamber L. ↓, Grawe L. ↑,
61', Reissner N. ↓, Egli L. ↑,
67', 3 - 3, Janssens J. ⚽, Bauereisen N. (A),
72', 4 - 3, Stoldt S. (Penalty Awarded),
73', Weidauer S. ↓, Orschmann D. ↑,
73', Donges J. ↓, Wrede J. ↑,
74', Schneider T. ↓, Veit J. ↑,
84', Bartz P. ↓, Racke N. ↑,
85', 4 - 4, Orschmann D. ⚽, Pujols J. (A),
90+3', Janssens J. 🟨,
90+3', Linberg C. ↓, Klinck I. ↑,
90+4', Machtens P. 🟨,

Preview

Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 12th and 9th).

Recent results have been tough for Hamburg (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Union Berlin have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Union Berlin may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Union Berlin holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Hamburg has recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 6:5 (averaging 1.2:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Hamburg against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 2:1 goals (averaging 1:0.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Union Berlin W	8	3	1	4	14:16	-2	10
12	Hamburger SV W	8	1	3	4	14:15	-1	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hamburger SV Women
German Bundesliga Women
17.10.26	Köln - Hamburger SV	3:1 ✺
04.10.26	Wolfsburg - Hamburger SV	2:1 ✺
20.09.26	Hamburger SV - Nürnberg	5:1 ✺
11.09.26	Werder Bremen - Hamburger SV	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Hamburger SV - RB Leipzig	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLWLT
- Union Berlin Women
German Bundesliga Women
18.10.26	Union Berlin - Nürnberg	2:1 ✺
04.10.26	Stuttgart - Union Berlin	0:4 ✺
20.09.26	Union Berlin - RB Leipzig	3:2 ✺
12.09.26	Köln - Union Berlin	3:0 ✺
07.09.26	Union Berlin - Eintracht Frankfurt	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Women
25.07.26	Union Berlin - Hamburger SV	1:1
German Bundesliga Women
01.05.26	Hamburger SV - Union Berlin	0:1
21.11.25	Union Berlin - Hamburger SV	1:1
German 2 Bundesliga Women
24.08.24	Union Berlin - Hamburger SV	2:2
German DFB Pokal Women
04.08.19	Hamburger SV - Union Berlin	2:0

Hamburger SV - Union Berlin