Match Info

Date: 8 February 2020, Saturday


	Hamilton Academical		Southern United

	1	X	2
	2.15	4	2.55
	2.12	3.55	2.5
	2	3.99	2.63
	2.11	4.49	2.77
	2.1	3.8	2.75
	2.13	4.14	2.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.12)	4 ↑ (3.74)	2.66 ↓ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hamilton Academical
43.1%

Draw
22.7%

Southern United
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

24.1%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

17.4%

46.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hamilton Academical has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Southern United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamilton Academical than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hamilton Academical that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southern United than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Southern United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hamilton Academical - Southern United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hamilton Academical
Scottish Cup
08.02.20	Hamilton Academical - Glasgow Rangers	1:4 ✺
Scottish Premier League
05.02.20	St. Mirren - Hamilton Academical	1:1 ✺
02.02.20	Hamilton Academical - Celtic	1:4 ✺
New Zealand Premiership
01.02.20	Auckland City - Hamilton Academical	3:1 ✺
25.01.20	Eastern Suburbs - Hamilton Academical	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LTLLL
- Southern United
New Zealand Premiership
01.02.20	Eastern Suburbs - Southern United	6:0 ✺
24.01.20	Southern United - Canterbury United	2:1 ✺
17.01.20	Tasman United - Southern United	5:0 ✺
10.01.20	Wellington Phoenix 2 - Southern United	1:1 ✺
20.12.19	Southern United - Auckland City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand Premiership
22.11.19	Southern United - Hamilton Academical	4:0
18.01.19	Southern United - Hamilton Academical	3:1
03.11.18	Hamilton Academical - Southern United	0:1
09.03.18	Southern United - Hamilton Academical	3:1
02.12.17	Hamilton Academical - Southern United	2:2
06.01.17	Southern United - Hamilton Academical	4:0
21.10.16	Hamilton Academical - Southern United	1:0

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