Match Info

Date: 15 January 2021, Friday


	Auckland City		Hamilton Academical

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.62	4.2	4
	1.6	3.75	3.95
	1.62	4.1	4.4
	1.66	4.25	4.76
	1.57	3.9	4.75
	1.61	4	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.64)	4.03 ↑ (3.74)	4.44 ↑ (4.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Auckland City
56.7%

Draw
22.7%

Hamilton Academical
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

24.2%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

15.5%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Auckland City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Hamilton Academical has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auckland City than the current prediction. (-21.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Auckland City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamilton Academical than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hamilton Academical could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Auckland City - Hamilton Academical Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion to Football Championship (Play Offs) and 3 in the zone Promotion to Football Championship (Play Offs)).

Auckland City is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Hamilton is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Auckland City could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Auckland City is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Auckland City won 9 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 31-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Auckland City won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 19-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Auckland City FC
New Zealand Premiership
09.01.21	Waitakere United - Auckland City	0:3 ✺
18.12.20	Auckland City - Wellington Phoenix 2	4:1 ✺
12.12.20	Canterbury United - Auckland City	1:0 ✺
05.12.20	Team Wellington - Auckland City	2:2 ✺
28.11.20	Auckland City - Hawkes Bay United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWLTW
- Hamilton Academical
New Zealand Premiership
09.01.21	Hamilton Academical - Team Wellington	1:1 ✺
Scottish Premier League
09.01.21	Kilmarnock - Hamilton Academical	2:0 ✺
02.01.21	Hamilton Academical - Motherwell	3:0 ✺
30.12.20	St. Johnstone - Hamilton Academical	0:0 ✺
26.12.20	Hamilton Academical - Celtic	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand Premiership
21.11.20	Hamilton Academical - Auckland City	2:0
01.02.20	Auckland City - Hamilton Academical	3:1
15.11.19	Hamilton Academical - Auckland City	0:5
Club Friendly
11.10.19	Auckland City - Hamilton Academical	3:1
New Zealand Premiership
16.02.19	Auckland City - Hamilton Academical	3:2
01.12.18	Hamilton Academical - Auckland City	0:1
27.01.18	Hamilton Academical - Auckland City	0:1

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