Match Info

GERMANY: OBERLIGA HAMBURG - ROUND 18

Date: 4 November 2022, Friday


	Hamm United		Süderelbe

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.6	2.05
	2.75	3.8	1.94
	2.75	3.55	2.07
	2.61	4.1	2.25
	2.7	3.4	2.15
	2.61	3.8	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.08)	3.71 ↓ (3.8)	2.11 ↓ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Hamm United
33.2%

Draw
24.3%

Süderelbe
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

23.7%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7%

25.5%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hamm United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hamm United's form might have worsened.

Süderelbe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Süderelbe's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamm United than the current prediction. (+13.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hamm United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Süderelbe than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Süderelbe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	27.3%	36.4%

Hamm United - Süderelbe Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Hamm United will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Süderelbe will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hamm United: 8% – 64.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 10 and 11).

Hamm United is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Süderelbe is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Süderelbe will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Hamm United won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Hamm United won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hamm United
German Oberliga Hamburg
30.10.22	Rugenbergen - Hamm United	0:3 ✺
21.10.22	Hamm United - Victoria Hamburg	1:3 ✺
11.10.22	Eimsbütteler - Hamm United	3:0 ✺
30.09.22	Hamm United - Dassendorf	0:5 ✺
25.09.22	TSV Buchholz 08 - Hamm United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLLLL
- FC Süderelbe
German Oberliga Hamburg
28.10.22	Süderelbe - Osdorf	2:2 ✺
22.10.22	Altona - Süderelbe	0:3 ✺
14.10.22	Süderelbe - Curslack Neuengamme	4:3 ✺
11.10.22	TuRa Harksheide - Süderelbe	3:0 ✺
07.10.22	Süderelbe - HEBC Hamburg	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Hamburg
06.05.22	Hamm United - Süderelbe	4:4
19.03.22	Süderelbe - Hamm United	4:2

Upcoming Matches