Match Info

Super Cup - Final

Date: 10 February 2026, Tuesday

Location: Ta'Qali National Stadium (Ta' Qali)


	Hamrun Spartans		Paola Hibernians

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.4	4.15	6.5	Watch
	1.39	4.55	7.52
	1.42	4.37	6.76	Watch
	1.4	4	6.5
	1.36	4.3	7.5	Watch
	1.33	4.2	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.67)	4.26 ↑ (3.47)	6.96 ↑ (4.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Hamrun Spartans
65.6%

Draw
21.3%

Paola Hibernians
13%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

25.9%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

25.2%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hamrun Spartans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hamrun Spartans's performance.

Paola Hibernians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paola Hibernians might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamrun Spartans than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hamrun Spartans that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paola Hibernians than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paola Hibernians could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Hamrun Spartans - Paola Hibernians Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

TQ, OT - Hamrun (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Hamrun Spartans will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Hamrun Spartans will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Hamrun (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bonello H. (G) 7. Attard S. 31. Bulevardi D. 94. Camenzuli R. 24. Ceter D. 91. Emerson 8. Garcia M. 6. Guillaumier M. 10. Mbong J. 13. Polito V. 2. Rafael Compri	1. Branescu L. (G) 88. Akinbule S. 4. Alfred S. 6. Caruana L. 96. Charleston 8. Debattista M. 11. Kristensen B. (C) 41. Norenkov D. 44. Pedrao 5. Shaw K. 14. Xuereb D.
Substitutes
27. Bjelicic O. 14. Borg E. 16. Camilleri S. 32. Carboni M. 25. Ederson 30. Eleke B. 55. Hili K. 93. Inzoudine Y. 49. Jonny 5. Xerri S.	19. Abela L. 2. Attard C. 22. Bonnici D. 13. Diakite 23. Ellul M. 18. Halabaku K. 70. Lima M. 9. Miullen 30. Sacco H. (G) 16. Zammit A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', Kristensen B. 🟨,
27', 1 - 0, Emerson ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Mbong J. ↓, Carboni M. ↑,
46', Akinbule S. ↓, Miullen ↑,
46', Caruana L. ↓, Halabaku K. ↑,
56', Polito V. 🟨,
57', Debattista M. ↓, Lima M. ↑,
74', Polito V. ↓, Bjelicic O. ↑,
74', Attard S. ↓, Inzoudine Y. ↑,
75', Norenkov D. ↓, Bonnici D. ↑,
80', Bjelicic O. 🟨,
81', 1 - 1, Miullen (Penalty Awarded),
84', Alfred S. 🟨,
89', Bulevardi D. ↓, Ederson ↑,
89', Carboni M. ↓, Jonny ↑,
90+1', Shaw K. 🟨,
90+3', Alfred S. ↓, Diakite ↑,
Extra Time (0 - 1)
98', Garcia M. 🟨,
103', Lima M. 🟨,
105', Pedrao ↓, Hernandez R. ↑,
114', Bjelicic O. 🟥,
120+3', 1 - 2, Halabaku K. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hamrun won 3.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Hamrun may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Hamrun is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Hamrun will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hamrun won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 28:22. (average 1.4:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Hamrun won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hamrun Spartans
Maltese Premier League
07.02.26	Hamrun Spartans - Naxxar Lions	4:0 ✺
03.02.26	Gżira United - Hamrun Spartans	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Hamrun Spartans - Sliema Wanderers	2:0 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
27.01.26	Hamrun Spartans - Fgura United	5:0 ✺
Maltese Premier League
24.01.26	Valletta - Hamrun Spartans	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WTWWT
- Paola Hibernians
Maltese Premier League
07.02.26	Paola Hibernians - Tarxien Rainbows	1:1 ✺
04.02.26	Paola Hibernians - Żabbar St. Patrick	2:1 ✺
31.01.26	Paola Hibernians - Mosta	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Sliema Wanderers - Paola Hibernians	1:3 ✺
18.01.26	Birkirkara - Paola Hibernians	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
27.09.25	Hamrun Spartans - Paola Hibernians	2:0
Maltese FA Trophy
14.05.25	Hamrun Spartans - Paola Hibernians	1:2
Maltese Premier League
19.01.25	Paola Hibernians - Hamrun Spartans	1:2
21.12.24	Paola Hibernians - Hamrun Spartans	0:3
02.10.24	Hamrun Spartans - Paola Hibernians	0:2
04.05.24	Hamrun Spartans - Paola Hibernians	1:1
20.01.24	Paola Hibernians - Hamrun Spartans	1:2

Hamrun Spartans - Paola Hibernians: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide