The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hamrun Spartans 58.4%
Draw 23.1%
Paola Hibernians 18.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
57.8%
22.1%
20.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.3%
20.8%
19%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hamrun Spartans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
Paola Hibernians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamrun Spartans than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paola Hibernians than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Hamrun Spartans - Paola Hibernians Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Hamrun will win (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Marchegiani G. (G) 94. Camenzuli R. 88. Coric A. 91. Emerson (C) 8. Grech J. 6. Guillaumier M. 13. Polito V. 2. Rafael Compri 29. Trotta M. 10. Villela L. 5. Xerri S.
1. Cardinali M. (G) 4. Alfred S. 47. El Fanis M. 23. Ellul M. 24. Lacunza L. 7. Mbong J. 3. Romling M. 5. Shaw K. (C) 34. Sobczyk A. 8. Wahling J. 14. Xuereb D.
Substitutes
7. Attard S. 92. Brincau K. (G) 24. Camilleri S. 98. Celio (G) 9. Ceter D. 25. Hili K. 18. Ipalibo J. 21. Letherby D. 3. Mizzi I. 55. Scicluna K. 47. Virano G.
19. Abela L. 21. Agius 22. Bonnici D. 17. Chukunyere I. 77. Druga B. 44. Flavell B. 6. Jankovic F. 18. Matos 20. Roe J. 28. Sanchez P. (G) 16. Zammit A.
Coaches
Amelia M.
Tanrivermis T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 1 - 0, Grech J. ⚽,
44', 1 - 1, Romling M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Guillaumier M. ↓, Virano G. ↑,
61', 2 - 1, Trotta M. ⚽,
69', El Fanis M. 🟨,
69', Trotta M. 🟨,
70', Xuereb D. ↓, Chukunyere I. ↑,
70', Wahling J. ↓, Jankovic F. ↑,
71', Rafael Compri ↓, Ipalibo J. ↑,
75', Coric A. ↓, Attard S. ↑,
81', Trotta M. ↓, Ceter D. ↑,
81', Emerson ↓, Letherby D. ↑,
81', Sobczyk A. ↓, Druga B. ↑,
83', El Fanis M. ↓, Matos ↑,
90+2', Villela L. 🟨,
90+4', 2 - 2, ⚽,
90+5', 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,
Preview
A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 6th in the Promotion - Premier League (First stage - Top 6: ) and 10th in the Premier League (First stage - Play Out: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hamrun won 3.
Hamrun has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Hibernians has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Hamrun carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Hamrun has recorded 10 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 28:21 (averaging 1.4:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Hamrun against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with 11:12 goals (averaging 1:1.1 per game).